在悖论中失效:尼罗河流域倡议组织政治与技术双轨架构分析  

作　　者：杨影淇 孙德刚 

机构地区：[1]复旦大学国际关系与公共事务学院 [2]复旦大学中东研究中心 [3]复旦大学国际问题研究院

出　　处：《复旦公共行政评论》2024年第1期91-122,共32页Fudan Public Administration Review

摘　　要：缓和尼罗河水资源争端有赖于流域组织作用的发挥,但尼罗河流域倡议组织发展多年却走向边缘化,主要原因在于其探索共同利益的技术轨道和签署公平用水法律框架的政治轨道相互掣肘。在启动阶段,技术合作的拖延和形式化与触及水权利的政治谈判无法进展息息相关,共同利益塑造失败又反过来制约政治谈判。面对信任和融资危机,该组织一方面以生存为目标而转型,削弱技术合作对政治合作的吸引力,另一方面又由于政治轨道停滞失去推进技术合作的机会与公平立场。在边缘化危机中,对接更大国际组织、抛弃存在争端的东尼罗河流域使尼罗河流域倡议组织进一步丧失了流域合作话语权与重构公平水权利结构的目标。The mitigation of water disputes in the Nile basin depends on the effectiveness of river basin organizations,but the Nile BasinInitiative(NBI)has been marginalized.The conflicts between the technical track of exploring common interests and the political track of signing a legal framework for fair water use is main reason.In the start-up phase,the delay of technical cooperation were related to the stagnate in politicalnegotiations involving water rights.And the failure to shape common interests hindered politicalnegotiations.Faced with the crises of trust and financing,NBI transformed with the goal of survival,weakening the attractiveness of technical cooperation for political cooperation.Due to the standstill of the political track,NBI lost the fair position and the opportunity to promote technical cooperation.In the crisis of marginalization,connecting with larger International organizations and abandoning the disputed east Nile basin makes NBI lost the discourse power of basin cooperation and the goal of restructuring the fair structure of water rights.

关 键 词：尼罗河流域倡议组织 双轨架构 失效 水权利结构 

分 类 号：D815[政治法律—国际关系] TV213.4[政治法律—政治学]