农村金融发展对农村经济增长的贡献研究——以安徽为例  

Research on the Contribution of Rural Financial Development to Rural Economic Growth:Taking Anhui as an Example

作　　者：陈江华 刘应龙 CHEN Jianghua;LIU Yinglong(School of Economics and Management,Hefei University,Hefei,Anhui,230601,China)

机构地区：[1]合肥大学经济与管理学院,安徽合肥230601

出　　处：《浙江树人学院学报》2024年第5期49-58,共10页Journal of Zhejiang Shuren University

摘　　要：推动农村经济发展是实现乡村全面振兴的重要基础,而农村金融的发展对农村经济增长有着重要的影响。基于安徽2002—2022农村年度数据,运用VAR模型,从农村金融规模、农村金融结构和农村金融效率三个维度实证检验农村金融发展与农村经济增长之间的影响关系。研究结果表明,安徽省农村金融规模和农村金融结构对农村经济增长没有显著的促进作用,甚至呈负效应,但是农村金融效率对农村经济增长具有正效应,农村经济增长对农村金融结构和效率起到了积极作用,且农村经济增长对农村金融发展的促进作用大于农村金融发展对农村经济增长的促进作用。Promoting rural economic development is an important foundation for realizing the comprehensive revitalization of the countryside,and the development of rural finance has an important impact on rural economic development.This paper empirically examines the mutual influence between rural financial development and rural economic growth from the three dimensions of rural financial scale,rural financial structure and rural financial efficiency by using the VAR model,based on the annual rural data from 2002 to 2022 in Anhui.The results show that,the scale and structure of rural finance in Anhui Province have not shown a significant positive effect on rural economic growth,and in some cases,even exhibit a negative effect.However,rural financial efficiency has a positive effect on rural economic development,and rural economic growth has had a positive impact on the structure and efficiency of rural finance.Additionally,the promotion effect of rural economic growth on rural financial development is greater than the effect of rural financial development on rural economic growth.

关 键 词：农村金融 农村经济 脉冲响应函数 预测方差分解 

分 类 号：F832.7[经济管理—金融学] F327