云南省已育青年女性再生育意愿影响因素的实证研究  

Influencing Factors on the Fertility Intentions of Young Mothers in Yunnan Province

作　　者：廖峻 权迎 朱志娟 李琳 LIAO Jun;QUAN Ying;ZHU Zhijuan;LI Lin(Southwest Border Ethnic Research Center,Yunnan University,Kunming,Yunnan,China 650091;School of Preschool and Special Education,Kunming University,Kunming,Yunnan,China 650214)

机构地区：[1]云南大学西南边疆少数民族研究中心,云南昆明650091 [2]昆明学院学前与特殊教育学院,云南昆明650214

出　　处：《昆明学院学报》2025年第1期19-30,共12页Journal of Kunming University

基　　金：云南省哲学社会科学规划项目重点项目(ZD202209);边疆民族地区儿童早期发展科研特色团队;2023年云南省教育厅特殊儿童医教协同早期干预与发展技术创新团队。

摘　　要：描述和分析省域层面已育青年女性再生育意愿及影响因素对促进区域人口、经济社会可持续发展具有重要意义。为了探讨云南省已育青年女性再生育意愿及影响因素,为完善云南省生育养育配套支持措施提供参考。于2023年2-7月选取云南省6个地州17个县区共3092名已育青年女性为调查对象,采用χ2检验和多分类logistic回归,探讨个体特征、家庭特征和区域特征3个维度的变量对其再生育意愿的影响。研究结果表明:云南省3092名已育青年女性中,仅有不到两成的女性愿意再生育,有接近一半的女性在政策好的条件下也不愿意再生育。年龄、民族、家庭结构和家中孩子数量是已育青年女性再生育意愿的共同显著关联因素。已育青年女性再生育意愿受到地区特征、个体特征和家庭特征的显著影响。云南省已育青年女性再生育意愿不高,生育养育措施优化可能是提高具有特定个体特征女性再生育意愿的重要途径,配套措施应进一步关注特定人群的具体需求,以提振已育青年女性再生育意愿,释放生育潜力。Describing and analyzing the fertility intentions and influencing factors of young women who have already given birth at the provincial level is of great significance for promoting the sustainable development of regional population and socio-economic conditions.This paper aims to explore the fertility intentions and influencing factors of young mothers in Yunnan Province,providing a reference for improving the support measures for childbirth and child-rearing in Yunnan Province.From February to July 2023,a total of 3092 young women who had given birth in 17 counties and districts across 6 prefectures in Yunnan Province were selected as the survey subjects.The study used the(2 test and multi class logistic regression to explore the impact of individual characteristics,family characteristics,and regional characteristics on their intention to have children again.The research findings indicated that among 3,029 young mothers in Yunnan Province,less than 20%were willing to have another child,and nearly half were not willing to have another child even under favorable policy conditions.Age,ethnicity,family structure,and the number of children in the family were common significant factors associated with the fertility intentions of young mothers.The fertility intentions of young mothers were significantly influenced by regional characteristics,individual traits,and family features.The fertility intentions of young mothers in Yunnan Province were not high,and optimizing childbearing and child-rearing measures might be an important way to increase the fertility intentions of women with specific individual traits.Support measures should further focus on the specific needs of particular groups to boost the fertility intentions of young mothers and unleash the potential for childbirth.

关 键 词：云南省 已育青年女性 再生育意愿 影响因素 

分 类 号：C923[社会学—人口学]