体育产业与区域经济发展的耦合协调水平的统计测度及动态演进  

Statistical Measurement and Dynamic Evolution of the Level of Coupling and Coordination between Sports Industry and Regional Economic Development

作　　者：曲卓 邢茂源 QU Zhuo;XING Maoyuan(National Accounting Department,Yunnan Provincial Bureau of Statistics,Kunming,Yunnan,China 650051)

机构地区：[1]云南省统计局国民经济核算处,云南昆明650051

出　　处：《昆明学院学报》2025年第1期92-107,共16页Journal of Kunming University

摘　　要：体育产业和经济发展实现优良的耦合协调对推动体育产业的发展具有重要意义。基于体育产业与经济发展内在联系的理论基础,构建体育产业和经济发展耦合协调的测度指标体系,对全国31个省(区、市)2018~2022年体育产业和经济发展的耦合协调度进行测度,并基于莫兰指数、Dagum基尼系数法、核密度估计和Markov链分析体育产业和经济发展耦合协调度的空间特征、区域差异和动态演变规律。研究结果表明:全国体育产业与经济发展的耦合协调性较好,且达到了较好协调,两者间的相互适应性逐步增强,呈现“东高、中平、西和东北低”的分布格局,区域差异正在逐年扩大。在空间特征分布方面,体育产业与经济发展水平耦合协调度相似地区呈现显著的空间聚集现象。在演变趋势方面,全国体育产业与经济发展水平耦合协调度逐渐提升,呈现稳中向好的演变趋势。分区域来看,东部地区由低类型演进为高类型的概率高于中部地区和西部地区,东北地区向更高水平演变的趋势不明显,发展较为缓慢。The excellent coupling and coordination between the sports industry and economic development is of great significance in promoting the development of the sports industry.This study is based on the theoretical foundation of the intrinsic relationship between the sports industry and economic development,and constructs a measurement index system for the coupling and coordination of the sports industry and economic development.The coupling and coordination degree of the sports industry and economic development is measured in 31 provinces,municipalities and regions in China from 2018 to 2022,and the spatial characteristics,regional differences,and dynamic evolution of the coupling and coordination degree of the sports industry and economic development are analyzed based on Moran's index,DagumGini coefficient,kernel density estimation,and Markov chain.The research results indicate that the coupling and coordination between the national sports industry and economic development are good,and have achieved good coordination.The mutual adaptability between the two is gradually increasing,showing a distribution pattern of“high in the east,flat in the middle,low in the west and northeast”,with the expanding regional differences year by year.In terms of spatial feature distribution,regions with similar coupling and coordination between the development level of the sports industry and the economic development level exhibit significant spatial clustering phenomena.In terms of evolutionary trends,the coupling and coordination between the development level of the national sports industry and the level of economic development have gradually improved,showing a stable and positive trend.From a regional perspective,the probability of the eastern region evolving from a low type to a high type is higher than that of the central and western regions,while the trend of the northeastern region evolving to a higher level is not obvious and its development is relatively slow.

关 键 词：体育产业 经济发展 耦合协调 统计测度 

分 类 号：F124[经济管理—世界经济] G80-05[文化科学—运动人体科学]