国际交通运输通道对中国与中东欧国家出口贸易网络的影响研究——基于中欧班列开通的准自然实验  

Research on the Impact of International Transportation Channels on theExport Trade Network between China and Central and EasternEuropean Countries——Quasi-Natural Experiment Based on the Opening of the China-Europe Freight Train

作　　者：庄梦琪 杨丽华[1,2] ZHUANG Mengqi;YANG Lihua(School of Business,Ningbo University,Ningbo 315211,China;Institute of Central and Eastern European Economic and Trade Cooperation,Ningbo University,Ningbo 315211,China)

机构地区：[1]宁波大学商学院,浙江宁波315211 [2]宁波大学中东欧经贸合作研究院,浙江宁波315211

出　　处：《科技与经济》2025年第1期96-100,共5页Science & Technology and Economy

基　　金：浙江省自然科学基金探索项目——“浙江省跨境电商提升供应链韧性的影响机理及政策设计”(项目编号:ZX2023000867,项目负责人:杨丽华)成果之一。

摘　　要：将中欧班列开通作为准自然实验,基于2008-2021年中国31个省份(除港澳台外)与中东欧16国的进出口贸易数据,利用多期双重差分模型,分析了中欧班列对中国与中东欧国家出口贸易网络的影响。研究发现,中欧班列加深了中国各省份与中东欧国家的出口贸易联系。机制分析表明,中欧班列主要通过提高市场化水平、促进产业结构调整等方式深化各省份与中东欧国家的出口贸易网络。异质性分析显示,中欧班列对我国东部地区以及高研发水平省份的出口贸易网络深化作用更大。因此,应当通过持续加码开放举措,不断扩大中东欧经贸“朋友圈”,共同推动中国-中东欧国家合作走得更稳、更实、更远。Taking the opening of the China-Europe freight train as a quasi-natural experiment,based on the import and export trade data of 31 provinces in China and 16 countries in Central and Eastern Europe from 2008 to 2021,a multi-period difference-in-difference model was used to analyze the impact of the China-Europe freight train on the export trade network between China and Central and Eastern European countries.The research has found that the China-Europe freight trains have deepened the export trade links between provinces of China and Central and Eastern European countries.Mechanism analysis shows that the China-Europe freight train mainly deepens the export trade network between provinces of China and Central and Eastern European countries by improving the level of marketization and promoting industrial restructuring.Heterogeneity analysis shows that the China-Europe freight train has a greater impact on deepening the export trade network in the eastern region and provinces with high research and development levels.Therefore,openness measures should be improved to expand the“circle of friends”in Central and Eastern European trade,jointly promoting more stable,practical,and further cooperation between China and Central and Eastern European countries.

关 键 词：国际交通运输通道 中欧班列 中东欧 贸易网络 

分 类 号：F755.1[经济管理—国际贸易] F532.4[经济管理—产业经济] F752.7