俄罗斯组建“三方天然气联盟”:进展与前景  

The Tripartite Natural Gas Alliance Initiated by Russia:Progress and Prospects

作　　者：汤中超 Tang Zhongchao

机构地区：[1]中国国际问题研究院欧亚研究所

出　　处：《欧亚经济》2025年第1期45-63,131,132,133,134,共23页Journal of Eurasian Economy

摘　　要：2022年俄乌冲突爆发以来,俄罗斯与美西方关系恶化,美西方不断升级对俄制裁,欧盟力求摆脱对俄能源依赖,大幅削减自俄进口天然气,俄欧天然气合作难以为继。在此背景下,俄罗斯不得不加快实施天然气出口“向东转”战略,并于2022年11月提出建立由俄罗斯、哈萨克斯坦、乌兹别克斯坦共同参与的“三方天然气联盟”。根据俄罗斯的计划,在该联盟建立的第一阶段,将围绕三方天然气合作、发展天然气基础设施以及面向外部市场建立协调机制展开工作。对照这一目标,一年多来,“三方天然气联盟”已从构想逐步转化为行动,取得了阶段性进展,为欧亚地区天然气合作加入新变量。不过,该联盟的未来发展仍将受多种因素的影响。It has been difficult for Russia and the EU to continue their natural gas cooperation since the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2022as Western sanctions against Russia have been escalating while the EU has been slashing its natural gas imports from Russia.Against this backdrop,Russia has to implement a strategy of increasing its natural gas exports to East Asia.Under such a strategy,Russia initiated a trilateral natural gas alliance with Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan.The implementation of the objectives in its primary phase,including trilateral cooperation,infrastructure construction,and the formation of coordinating mechanisms for external markets,indicate that the alliance has become a new variable for Eurasian natural gas cooperation as it has been turned from a concept into actions with phased results.Nevertheless,the future of the alliance is still subject to diverse factors.

关 键 词：俄罗斯 “三方天然气联盟” 哈萨克斯坦 乌兹别克斯坦 俄乌冲突 

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