台商投资对两岸经济融合发展的影响研究  

Impact of Taiwan Business Investment on Cross-Strait Economic Integration and Development

作　　者：盛九元 杨爱爱 SHENG Jiuyuan;YANG Ai'ai

机构地区：[1]上海交通大学国际与公共事务学院,上海200030 [2]上海社会科学院世界经济研究所,上海200020

出　　处：《台湾研究集刊》2025年第1期80-94,共15页Taiwan Research Journal

基　　金：2022年度国家社科基金重大项目“党的十八大以来党领导贯彻‘一国两制’推进祖国统一的实践与经验研究”(22ZDA123)。

摘　　要：台商对内地直接投资是两岸经济融合发展的重要基础,其作用不容忽视。综合测度两岸经济融合发展水平,有助于分析台商直接投资对两岸经济融合发展的影响。研究表明:受国际经济低迷、中国内地经济发展模式调整、世纪疫情冲击以及中美博弈加剧的影响,两岸经济融合度整体呈现先增后减再趋于平稳的发展态势;台商直接投资对于两岸经济融合度发挥了显著影响作用,而产业关联效应和规模经济效应是其中的重要传导机制。当前,仍应充分重视台商投资的积极作用,强化两岸产业链供应链合作,拓展两岸产业合作新领域和新空间,在更大范围和更高层次上推进两岸经济融合发展。By constructing a comprehensive multi-index system,this paper provides a comprehensive measurement of the development level of cross-Strait economic integration.It then empirically analyzes the impact of Taiwan region's direct investment on this integration.The findings reveal that cross-Strait economic integration has followed a pattern of initial increase,subsequent decline,and final stabilization,influenced by the global economic downturn,adjustments of the Chinese mainland's economic development model,the impact of the Pandemic,and intensified competition between China and the United States.Direct investment from Taiwan region's businesses has played a significant role in the degree of cross-Strait economic integration,with industrial correlation effects and scale economy effects serving as important transmission mechanisms.Currently,we should still pay full attention to the positive role of Taiwan investment,strengthen cross-Strait industrial chain and supply chain cooperation,expand cross-Strait industrial cooperation in new areas and new spaces,and promote cross-Strait economic integration and development in a broader scope and at a higher level.

关 键 词：两岸经济融合发展 台商直接投资 产业关联效应 

分 类 号：F124[经济管理—世界经济]