1961—2020年上海市冬季空调室外计算气象参数变化及其对空调热负荷和碳排放量的影响  

Changes in outdoor calculated meteorological parameters of air-conditioning in winter and effects on air-conditioning heat load and carbon emissions in Shanghai,1961-2020

作　　者：曹经福 赵玥 王卉 吴蔚 李明财[1,2] CAO Jingfu;ZHAO Yue;WANG Hui;WU Wei;LI Mingcai(Tianjin Key Laboratory of Oceanic Meteorology,Tianjin 300073,China;Tianjin Institute of Meteorological Science,Tianjin 300074,China;Shanghai Key Laboratory of Urban Response to Climate Change,Shanghai 200030,China;Meteorological Service of Jinnan District,Tianjin 300350,China;Tianjin Urban Planning and Designing Research Institute,Tianjin 300201,China;Shanghai Climate Centre,Shanghai 200030,China)

机构地区：[1]天津海洋气象重点实验室,天津300073 [2]天津市气象科学研究所,天津300074 [3]上海城市应对气候变化重点实验室,上海200030 [4]天津市津南区气象局,天津300350 [5]天津市城市规划设计研究院,天津300201 [6]上海市气候中心,上海200030

出　　处：《气象与环境学报》2024年第6期98-105,共8页Journal of Meteorology and Environment

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(42105174);中国气象局青年创新团队(CMA2023QN15);中国气象局重点创新团队(CMA2022ZD03)共同资助。

摘　　要：选用1961—2020年上海市10个国家气象站观测资料,计算该地区冬季室外空调不同气象参数下的空调热负荷变化,结合碳排放因子法,基于2020年数据量化分析上海市冬季气象条件变化对空调热负荷和碳排放量的影响。结果表明:上海市冬季空调室外计算气温明显升高,计算相对湿度变化以减小为主,其中中心城区的计算气温和相对湿度变幅最大,上海东北部的崇明区最小。综合空调室外计算气温和相对湿度变化,上海市冬季空调热负荷总量为减小趋势。与1961—1990年相比,1991—2020年总热负荷减小5.39%~8.42%。上海市冬季空调碳排放受气候变化影响可减少55~4553 t。Observations from 10 national meteorological stations in Shanghai from 1961 to 2020 were used to calculate the changes in heat loads under different meteorological parameters for outdoor air-conditioning in winter.Combined with the carbon emission factor method,the impacts of changes in meteorological conditions on air-conditioning heat loads and carbon emissions in winter in Shanghai were quantified and analyzed based on the 2020 data The results show that the calculated outdoor air temperature of air conditioning in winter in Shanghai increases significantly,and the change of calculated relative humidity mainly decreases,with the largest variation of calculated air temperature and relative humidity in the central urban area,and the smallest in Chongming District in the northeastern part of Shanghai.Comprehensive air conditioning outdoor calculated temperature and relative humidity changes,the total air conditioning heat load in Shanghai in winter is a decreasing trend.Compared with 1961-1990,the total heat load decreases by 5.39%to 8.42%from 1991 to 2020.The carbon emission from air conditioning in winter in Shanghai can be reduced by about 55-4553 t by climate change.

关 键 词：气候变化 室外计算气温 室外计算相对湿度 

分 类 号：P463.3[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]