丝绸之路经济带中国段城乡融合发展的时空演变特征与优化路径  

Spatio-temporal evolution characteristics and optimization pathways for integrated development of urban and rural areas in the Chinese section of the Silk Road Economic Belt

作　　者：郝智娟 文琦[2,3,4] 施琳娜 吴昕燕 丁金梅 HAO Zhijuan;WEN Qi;SHI Linna;WU Xinyan;DING Jinmei(School of Economics and Management,Ningxia University,Yinchuan 750021;School of Architecture,Ningxia University,Yinchuan 750021;School of Geography and Planning,Ningxia University,Yinchuan 750021;Rural Revitalization Research Institute Rural Governance Center,Ningxia Univcrsity,Yinchuan 750021;Department of Engineering and Geography,Ningxia University,Yinchuan 750021,China)

机构地区：[1]宁夏大学经济管理学院,银川750021 [2]宁夏大学建筑学院,银川750021 [3]宁夏大学地理科学与规划学院,银川750021 [4]宁夏大学乡村振兴研究院乡村治理中心,银川750021 [5]宁夏大学工程与地理学部,银川750021

出　　处：《干旱区资源与环境》2025年第2期117-130,共14页Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(42271221,42061037);教育部人文社会科学研究一般项目(23YJCZH181)资助。

摘　　要：城乡融合发展是推动丝绸之路经济带沿线地区高质量发展,促进共同富裕和实现中国式现代化的重要环节。基于共同富裕视角构建丝绸之路经济带城乡融合发展指标体系,借助熵权TOPSIS、核密度估计、空间马尔可夫链和GTWR模型分析其时空演变特征、影响因素并探究城乡融合发展的优化路径。结果表明:1)2012-2022年,丝绸之路经济带城乡融合发展水平不断提升,但整体不高。省区(市)之间城乡融合发展水平差异性较小但仍存在扩大态势,市域间呈现非均衡发展特征。2)以胡焕庸线为界,丝绸之路经济带城乡融合发展水平呈现“西南部区域高、西北部区域低”的空间格局。中低、中高水平向邻近较高等级转移的态势逐渐增强。3)丝绸之路经济带城乡融合发展水平影响因素具有时空异质性,经济规模、对外开放、人力资本和技术创新等促进城乡融合发展,地形起伏、交通设施具有负向影响。4)将城乡融合发展类型区划分为4类,融合引领区应带动周边地市城乡融合发展,优化提升区应探索特色旅游等产业新业态,融合失调区应承接产业转移并注重生态环境保护,融合滞后区应完善基础设施建设,以保障城乡要素畅通流动。The integrated development of urban and rural areas is crucial for the high-quality development of regions along the Silk Road Economic Belt,promoting common prosperity and contributing to Chinese-style modernization.From the perspective of common prosperity,we construct an index system for integrated urban-rural development in the Silk Road Economic Belt,analyze its spatial-temporal evolution characteristics and influencing factors,and explore the optimization pathways for integrated urban-rural development using the entropy weight TOPSIS method,kernel density estimation,spatial Markov chain,and GTWR model.The results reveal that:1)From 2012 to 2022,the level of urban-rural integration in the Silk Road Economic Belt has been continuously improving,although the overall level is not high.While the differences in integrated urban-rural development among provinces(cities)are small,an expanding trend is evident,accompanied by unbalanced development across cities.2)With the Hu Huanyong Line as the boundary,the level of integrated urban-rural development in the Silk Road Economic Belt presents a spatial pattern of"higher in the southwest region and lower in the northwest region".The trend of medium-low and medium-high levels transferring to the adjacent higher levels is gradually increasing.3)Economic scale,opening-up,human capital,and technological innovation promote the integrated urban-rural development,while terrain fluctuation and transportation facilities have negative effects.4)Based on this,the types of integrated urban-rural development are divided into four categories.The leading integrated area should drive the development of urban-rural integration in surrounding cities,while the optimizing-promotion area should explore new industrial formats,such as characteristic tourism.The integration-imbalance area should undertake industrial transfer and pay attention to ecological environmental protection,and the integration-lagged area should improve infrastructure to ensure the smooth flow of elements between urban

关 键 词：共同富裕 城乡融合发展 空间马尔可夫链 GTWR模型 丝绸之路经济带 

分 类 号：F061.5[经济管理—政治经济学]