农业国内价值链分工对农户收入的影响机制  

Impact mechanism analysis of agricultural domestic value chain division on the income of agricultural households

作　　者：项莹 王妍 石栋伟 XIANG Ying;WANG Yan;SHI Dongwei(School of Data Science,Zhejiang University of Finance&Economics,Hangzhou Zhejiang 310018,China)

机构地区：[1]浙江财经大学数据科学学院,浙江杭州310018

出　　处：《中国人口·资源与环境》2024年第12期141-152,共12页China Population,Resources and Environment

基　　金：国家社会科学基金后期资助项目“高技术产业三重价值链分工测度及其经济高质量发展效应研究”(批准号:23FTJB006);浙江财经大学研究生科研训练计划(PRTP)项目“农业农村建设现代化目标下农业国内价值链嵌入影响农民收入的机制分析与实证检验”(批准号:23TYDC048)。

摘　　要：提高农民收入是推进乡村全面振兴、实现共同富裕的本质要求。农业国内价值链分工为农业经济增长赋能,对于实现经济高质量发展、构建双循环新发展格局具有重要作用。该研究将农业国内价值链分工纳入影响农户收入的理论分析框架,基于中国家庭追踪调查数据库的微观数据和中国碳核算数据库等的宏观数据,构建“时间-农户-省域”多层线性模型,实证检验农业国内价值链分工对农户收入的影响机制,并从市场开放、技术水平和要素配置3个维度进一步探讨农业国内价值链分工对农户收入的调节作用。研究结果表明:(1)农业国内价值链分工参与度的加深不利于农户收入的提高。(2)参与农业国内价值链分工弱化了技术水平、要素配置和市场开放的增收效应,且弱化程度依次增大,分别为0.053、0.215和0.547。(3)技术进步与农户不配适、资本对农户价值的“挤出效应”、农户自身抗风险能力和生产管理能力较弱等原因引致了增收弱化。基于以上结论,该研究提出政府统筹推进、创新协作模式、协同加快农村人力资本投资、加快构建国内统一大市场等方面的政策建议,以扭转农业国内价值链分工对农户增收的不利影响。Raising farmers'income is an essential requirement for promoting comprehensive rural revitalization and achieving com-mon prosperity.Agricultural domestic value chain division(ADVC-D)empowers agricultural economic growth and plays a significant role in realizing high-quality economic development and establishing a new dual-cycle development pattern.This study incorporated ADVC-D into the theoretical analysis framework considering its impact on the income of agricultural households and constructed a mul-tilayer linear model of‘time-agricultural households-province’based on microdata from CFPS(China Family Panel Studies)and mac-rodata from CEADs(Carbon Emission Accounts and Datasets)to empirically test the mechanisms of ADVC-D on the income of agricul-tural households.It further explored the moderating effects of ADVC-D on the income of agricultural households from the dimensions of market openness,technology level,and factor allocation.The results of the study showed that:①The deepening participation in the ADVC-D was not conducive to increasing the income of agricultural households.②Participation in the ADVC-D weakened the income-generating effects of technology level,factor allocation,and market openness,with the degree of weakening increasing in the order of 0.053,0.215,and 0.547,respectively.③The mismatch between technological progress and agricultural households,the‘crowding-out effect’of capital on agricultural households'value,and the weak risk-resistant and production management abilities of agricultural households themselves led to a decline in their income.Based on these findings,this study proposes policy recommendations aimed at government coordination and promotion,the development of innovative collaboration models,the coordinated and accelerated invest-ment in rural human capital,and the accelerated construction of a unified domestic market,with the goal of mitigating the negative im-pact of ADVC-D on the income of agricultural households.

关 键 词：农业 国内价值链分工 农户收入 多层线性模型 

分 类 号：F323.8[经济管理—产业经济]