博弈视角下东北三省粮食安全与农民增收协同性研究  

Research on the Synergy between Food Security and Farmers'Income Increase in the Three Provinces of Northeast China from the Perspective of Game Theory

作　　者：孙铭一 陈秀萍[2] 战佳企 SUN Mingyi;CHEN Xiuping;ZHAN Jiaqi(Business School,Qilu Institute of Technology Jinan,Shandong 250200;Heilongjiang Academy of Social Sciences Harbin,Heilongjiang 150028)

机构地区：[1]齐鲁理工学院商学院,山东济南250200 [2]黑龙江省社会科学院,黑龙江哈尔滨150028

出　　处：《现代农业研究》2025年第3期29-34,共6页Modern Agriculture Research

基　　金：齐鲁理工学院社科一般项目“绿色金融对黄河流域经济高质量发展的影响研究”(项目编号:QIT24SN019)。

摘　　要：新时代背景下,处理好粮食安全与农民增收的协同性问题至关重要。本文运用博弈的方法,在理性人的假定下构建了东北三省地方政府、种粮农民、粮食加工企业的三方博弈矩阵,得出了此条件下的博弈最优策略与地方政府实现粮食安全的目标相违背。经过修正后的博弈收益矩阵分析,实现粮食安全与农民增收的最优策略组合为地方政府对粮食采取高价补贴等政策性措施,农民获得了额外收入而选择继续从事种粮活动。基于博弈的结果得出两者实现有效协同的具体路径,即提高粮食生产的劳动效率,保障种粮农民收入持续增长;推动粮食产业深度融合,实现粮食安全与产业安全有效协同;完善粮食安全保障机制与利益补偿机制,打造具有全国影响力的粮食安全与农民增收协同示范区。In the context of the new era,it is crucial to address the issue of synergy between food security and increasing farmers'income.This article uses a gambling approach,a tripartite game matrix was constructed for the local governments,grain farmers,and grain processing enterprises in the three northeastern provinces under the assumption of rational individuals.The optimal game strategy under this condition was found to be contrary to the goal of achieving food security by the local governments.After the revised game profit matrix analysis,the optimal strategy combination for achieving food security and increasing farmers'income is that local governments adopt policy measures such as high price subsidies for food,and farmers choose to continue their grain planting activities as they gain additional income.Based on the results of the game,a specific path for effective collaboration between the two is obtained,which is to improve the labor efficiency of grain production and ensure the sustained growth of income for grain farmers;Promote the deep integration of the grain industry and achieve effective synergy between food security and industrial security;Improve the mechanisms for ensuring food security and compensating for benefits,and create a nationally influential demonstration zone for the synergy between food security and increasing farmers'income.

关 键 词：粮食安全 农民增收 博弈 东北三省 

分 类 号：F762.1[经济管理—产业经济]