中国宏观经济的分析路线和政策取向  

Analytical Strategy to and Policy Orientation for China’s Macroeconomy

作　　者：郑超愚[1] Zheng Chaoyu(School of Applied Economics,Renmin University of China)

机构地区：[1]中国人民大学应用经济学院

出　　处：《经济界》2025年第1期28-32,共5页Economic Affairs

摘　　要：本文综合分析了国际组织对主要经济体增长速度的预测结果,提出我国需要构建“乐观经济增长预期、积极需求管理、加速经济发展战略”的宏观经济调控框架。这一进程需要警惕宏观经济的三个思维陷阱,为此需要坚持实施国民收入倍增计划这一战略目标,同时及时动态调整不同五年规划期设定的国民收入增长速度目标。The paper analyzes China's macroeconomic trends and policy orientations,highlighting the country's steady economic growth amidst complex global and domestic challenges.It discusses the downward trend in China's economic growth,the pitfalls of relying on three major fallacies in economic thinking,and underscores the crucial role of the Income Doubling Plan.The author emphasizes maintaining optimistic economic growth expectations,implementing proactive fiscal and monetary policies,and accelerating economic development strategies to achieve plan and counteract pessimistic expectations.The conclusion advocates a high-pressure economy approach to boost potential growth and eliminate unemployment.

关 键 词：宏观经济 经济增速预测 国民收入倍增计划 

分 类 号：F12[经济管理—世界经济]