基于FLUS模型的城镇开发边界优化研究——以浙江省武义县为例  

Research on Urban Development Boundary Optimization Based on FLUS Model:Taking Wuyi County in Zhejiang as an Example

作　　者：冯真 黄唯 王頔 卢锐 吕文佳 

机构地区：[1]浙江省城乡规划设计研究院 [2]浙江省城乡规划设计研究院城市更新分院

出　　处：《建筑与文化》2025年第2期63-65,共3页Architecture & Culture

基　　金：浙江省自然资源厅科技项目(项目编号:2022-95);浙江省城乡规划设计研究院科研项目(项目编号:RD202211)。

摘　　要：在国土空间规划政策导向下,科学优化城镇开发边界有助于引导城镇空间集约节约发展。文章以浙江省武义县为例,应用FLUS模型模拟全域土地演变,通过地理探测器和国土空间规划政策转译优化预测过程,提出耦合国土空间规划政策的技术方法,形成城镇开发边界预测方案。研究表明:基于新方法的城镇开发边界方案,模拟精度较高,总量规模符合国家要求,边界完整性有所提升,可以为后续城镇开发边界优化、调整提供参考。The urban development boundary plays a pivotal role in guiding the efficient and sustainable development of urban areas.By applying the FLUS Model,this study focuses on Wuyi County in Zhejiang Province to simulate global land use changes.Using geo-detector and national territorial space planning policy translation,it proposes an optimization technique for coupling national spatial planning policies,and establishes an optimized scheme for the urban development boundary prediction.The results demonstrate that the generated prediction scheme exhibits high simulation accuracy.Optimize prediction plan has the similar total scale,and the improved integrity of the boundaries,which provides reference for the subsequent optimization and adjustment of urban development boundaries.

关 键 词：城镇开发边界优化 FLUS模型 国土空间政策转译 地理探测器 

分 类 号：TU984.113[建筑科学—城市规划与设计]