城市群多中心空间结构的绿色经济绩效影响  

The Impact of Green Economy Performance on the Multi-Center Spatial Structure of Urban Agglomerations

作　　者：刘春学 候璐 任静 张帅 LIU Chunxue;HOU Lu;REN Jing;ZHANG Shuai(School of Economics,Yunnan University of Finance and Economics,Kunming Yunnan 650221,China;School of Business,Central University of Finance and Economics,Beijing 100081,China)

机构地区：[1]云南财经大学经济学院,云南昆明650221 [2]中央财经大学商学院,北京100081

出　　处：《生态经济》2025年第3期113-121,共9页Ecological Economy

基　　金：国家自然科学基金地区项目“物理机理为基础的高精度地学时空多变量协同统计模型研究”(42062020);云南省教育厅科学研究基金项目“长江经济带上游地区要素市场分割与城市高质量发展”(2023Y0629)。

摘　　要：城市群作为要素承载的主要空间形式,对区域绿色发展具有重要意义。论文测度了京津冀、长三角、长江中游、珠三角和成渝城市群2006—2019年空间多中心性及成员城市的绿色经济绩效,建立面板数据探究了城市群空间结构对成员城市绿色经济绩效的影响。研究表明:(1)城市群功能多中心结构对成员城市绿色经济绩效的提升具有显著的促进作用,但过度多中心化会减弱这种影响。(2)城市群空间结构对成员城市绿色经济绩效的影响受城市群发展阶段和城市自身发展水平的约束。(3)不同城市群空间结构对成员城市的影响具有异质性,京津冀城市群的单中心结构对成员城市绿色经济绩效的影响不显著;长江中游城市群的多中心结构,由于未形成集聚经济效应,对成员城市绿色经济绩效产生负向影响;长三角、珠三角和成渝城市群当前的多中心空间结构有利于成员城市绿色经济绩效的提高。使用SYS-GMM估计方法、替换被解释变量和加入交叉项的方式证明了模型的稳健性。基于上述发现,应继续推进城市群多中心结构发展,加强长江中游城市群中心城市核心竞争力,同时也要避免过度多中心化问题的出现。Urban agglomerations,as the primary spatial form for carrying factors of production,play a crucial role in regional green development.This article measures the spatial polycentricity and green economic performance of member cities in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei,Yangtze River Delta,Central Yangtze River,Pearl River Delta,and Chengdu-Chongqing urban agglomerations from 2006 to 2019.A panel data model is established to explore the impact of the spatial structure of urban agglomerations on the green economic performance of member cities.The findings are as follows:(1)The functional polycentric structure of urban agglomerations significantly promotes the green economic performance of member cities,but excessive polycentricity can weaken this effect.(2)The impact of the spatial structure of urban agglomerations on the green economic performance of member cities is constrained by the development stage of the agglomeration and the development level of individual cities.(3)The impact of spatial structures of different urban agglomerations on member cities is heterogeneous.The monocentric structure of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Urban Agglomeration has an insignificant effect on the green economic performance of its member cities.In contrast,the polycentric structure of the Central Yangtze River Urban Agglomeration exerts a negative impact on the green economic performance of its member cities due to the lack of agglomeration economies.Meanwhile,the current polycentric spatial structures of the Yangtze River Delta,Pearl River Delta,and Chengdu-Chongqing urban agglomerations are conducive to improving the green economic performance of their member cities.The robustness of the model is verified through the use of the System Generalized Method of Moments(SYS-GMM)estimation,replacement of the dependent variable,and the inclusion of interaction terms.Based on these findings,it is recommended to continue promoting the development of polycentric structures in urban agglomerations,enhance the core competitiveness of central cities in the

关 键 词：城市群 多中心 绿色经济 EBM-GML方法 

分 类 号：F291.1[经济管理—国民经济] F062.2