我国农业产业链现代化水平时空演进及区域差异研究  

Study on the Spatial-Temporal Evolution of the Modernization Level of China’s Agricultural Industry Chain and Regional Differences

作　　者：刘斐 姜雪航 李顺国[3] LIU Fei;JIANG Xuehang;LI Shunguo(School of Economics,Hebei GEO University,Shijiazhuang Hebei 050030,China;Research Base for Scientific-Technological Innovation and Regional Economic Sustainable Development of Hebei Province,Shijiazhuang Hebei 050030,China;Hebei Academy of Agriculture and Forestry Sciences,Shijiazhuang Hebei 050031,China)

机构地区：[1]河北地质大学经济学院,河北石家庄050030 [2]河北省科技创新与区域经济可持续发展研究基地,河北石家庄050030 [3]河北省农林科学院,河北石家庄050031

出　　处：《生态经济》2025年第3期122-130,共9页Ecological Economy

基　　金：国家社会科学基金青年项目“中国农业数字化转型机理、效应及路径优化研究”(21CJY048);国家现代农业产业技术体系专项(CARS-06-14.5-A33);河北省高等学校科学研究项目“数字基础设施建设驱动京津冀城市群经济韧性提升的机制与组态路径研究”(BJ2025267)。

摘　　要：提升我国农业产业链现代化水平,是赋能农业农村经济高质量发展的重要选择。论文以我国31个省份的省级空间面板数据为研究对象,构建评价指标体系,并运用熵权法、空间自相关与障碍因子诊断模型,揭示我国农业产业链现代化水平的时空动态演进特征与障碍因子。研究发现:(1)2012—2021年我国农业产业链现代化水平稳定上升并存在显著空间自相关,生产现代化呈上升态势,绿色现代化相对稳定,自主现代化波动发展;(2)各省份农业产业链现代化水平等级由低向高发展,水平较高区域由东部沿海向内陆逐步扩散;(3)科技现代化、生产现代化和自主现代化是限制农业产业链现代化水平提升的主要障碍因子。从把握地缘优势、加强基础设施投入、促进特色农业发展等方面提出建议。To enhance the modernization level of China’s agricultural industry chain is an important choice to enable the high-quality development of agricultural and rural economy.Based on the provincial spatial panel data of 31 provinces,this paper constructs an evaluation index system and uses the entropy weight method,spatial autocorrelation and obstacle factor diagnosis model to reveal the spatio-temporal dynamic evolution characteristics and obstacle factors of the modernization level of China’s agricultural industry chain.The findings are as follows:(1)From 2012 to 2021,the modernization level of China’s agricultural industry chain increased steadily with significant spatial autocorrelation,production modernization showed an upward trend,green modernization was relatively stable,and independent modernization developed in fluctuations.(2)The modernization level of agricultural industry chain in each province developed from low to high,and the higher level area gradually spread from the eastern coastal area to the inland.(3)Modernization of science and technology,modernization of production and modernization of autonomy are the main obstacle factors limiting the modernization level of agricultural industry chain.Suggestions are put forward from grasping geographical advantages,strengthening investment in infrastructure and promoting the development of characteristic agriculture.

关 键 词：农业产业链现代化 水平测度 时空特征 差异分析 障碍因子 

分 类 号：F320.1[经济管理—产业经济] F062.2