增强农业韧性的机制研究:农地确权-农业保险-人力资本的框架  

Research on mechanisms to enhance agricultural resilience:a framework of land ownership,agricultural insurance,and human capita

作　　者：郑沃林 高鹏 陈小知 ZHENG Wolin;GAO Peng;CHEN Xiaozhi(School of Credit Management,Guangdong University of Finance,Guangzhou,Guangdong 510521,China;School of Economics and Management,South China Agricultural University,Guangzhou,Guangdong 510642,China;South China Institute of Innovative Finance,GuangdongUniversity of Finance,Guangzhou,Guangdong 510521,China)

机构地区：[1]广东金融学院信用管理学院,广东广州520521 [2]华南农业大学经济管理学院,广东广州510642 [3]广东金融学院华南创新金融研究院,广东广州510521

出　　处：《农业现代化研究》2024年第6期938-951,共14页Research of Agricultural Modernization

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学基金项目(23YJC790204);广东省教育科学规划项目(2023GXJK120);广东省哲学社会科学规划青年项目(GD24YGL08);广东省基础与应用基础研究基金项目(2023A1515110314);广州市基础与应用基础研究专题项目(2024A04J3286)。

摘　　要：增强农业韧性是落实党的二十届三中全会关于“完善强农惠农富农支持制度”的重要举措。本研究基于江苏省农户跟踪调研数据,构建了“农业保险-农地确权-人力资本-农业韧性”的理论框架,运用熵值法测度农业风险及农业韧性水平,并探究农业保险、农地确权和人力资本对农业韧性的影响及作用机制。研究结果表明:1)农业风险呈现空间不均衡态势,苏南地区的农业风险最高,而且整体农业韧性偏低,存在明显的空间相关性;2)农业保险、农地确权和人力资本显著增强了农业韧性,这一结论在稳健性检验中依然成立;3)异质性分析显示,人力资本在农业保险对农业韧性的正向影响中发挥显著的调节作用,尤其在农地确权情况下,人力资本对农业保险增强农业韧性的作用更为明显。基于研究结果,本研究提出一系列建议,包括完善农业保险制度、推进自然资源确权政策与提供农业技术培训与支持,以增强农业韧性,推动农业强国建设。Enhancing agricultural resilience is a key measure for implementing the resolutions of the Third Plenary Session of the 20th CPC Central Committee,which emphasizes“improving the support system for strengthening agriculture,benefiting farmers,and enriching rural communities”.Based on tracking survey data from farmers in Jiangsu Province,this study constructs a theoretical framework that integrates“agricultural insurance-agricultural land rights conffrmation-human capital-agricultural resilience”.The entropy method is applied to measure agricultural risk and resilience levels,and the study explores the impacts of agricultural insurance,land rights conffrmation,and human capital on agricultural resilience,along with their mechanisms.The results reveal:1)Agricultural risk exhibits spatial imbalances,with the highest risks observed in southern Jiangsu,where overall agricultural resilience is relatively low and spatial correlations are evident;2)Agricultural insurance,land rights conffrmation,and human capital signiffcantly enhance agricultural resilience,a ffnding that remains robust across various tests;3)Heterogeneity analysis indicates that human capital plays a signiffcant moderating role in strengthening the positive effect of agricultural insurance on resilience,particularly in areas where land rights have been conffrmed.Based on these ffndings,the study offers several recommendations,including improving the agricultural insurance system,advancing land rights conffrmation policies,and providing agricultural technology training and support to enhance resilience and contribute to building a strong agricultural sector.

关 键 词：农业韧性 农业保险 农地确权 人力资本 农业风险 

分 类 号：F323.4[经济管理—产业经济]