面向兵棋推演实验的夺取制权行动效果评估研究  

Research on the Effectiveness Evaluation of Seizing the Initiative Actions in Wargaming Exercises

作　　者：陈敏 黄谦 祁文豪 马贤明 赵斌 CHEN Min;HUANG Qian;QI Wenhao;MA Xianming;ZHAO Bin(Strategic Assessment Advisory Center,Beijing 100091;Institute of Automation,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100190)

机构地区：[1]战略评估咨询中心,北京100091 [2]中国科学院自动化研究所,北京100190

出　　处：《舰船电子工程》2024年第12期115-120,共6页Ship Electronic Engineering

摘　　要：针对联合作战中的夺取制权行动效果评估问题,研究提出了一种基于兵棋推演的夺取控制作战进度评价模型。该模型通过数据收集与预处理、指标体系构建、权重计算和模型结论输出等步骤,对夺取制权行动的作战效果进行科学评估。文章详细介绍了评估模型的构建过程,包括指标计算方法和权重计算方法,并以实际兵棋推演数据为例,验证了模型的可行性和有效性。研究结果表明,该方法结合夺取制权行动进展情况和战场实时态势信息,评估夺取制权行动是否取得预期的效果,为联合作战指挥机构实时指挥控制提供支撑。Aiming at the problem of evaluating the effect of the action of seizing control in joint warfare,the study proposes a model for evaluating the progress of the action of seizing control based on wargaming.The model scientifically evaluates the combat effect of seize control operation through the steps of data collection and preprocessing,indicator system construction,weight calcula⁃tion and model conclusion output.The article describes in detail the construction process of the evaluation model,including the in⁃dex calculation method and weight calculation method,and verifies the feasibility and validity of the model by taking the data of ac⁃tual military chess deduction as an example.The results of the study show that the method combines the progress of the seizure of power operation and the real-time situation information of the battlefield to assess whether the seizure of power operation achieves the expected effect,and provides support for the real-time command and control of the joint operation command organization.

关 键 词：夺取制权 兵棋推演 联合作战 评估模型 

分 类 号：E0-03[军事—军事理论] E81[自动化与计算机技术—计算机软件与理论] E139[自动化与计算机技术—计算机科学与技术] TP311