数字技术创新、传统技术变革与经济增长  

Digital Technology Innovation,Traditional Technology Production and Economic Growth

作　　者：王艳芳[1] 邸春硕 WANG Yanfang;DI Chunshuo(Business School,Hebei Normal University,Shijiazhuang 050024,China)

机构地区：[1]河北师范大学商学院,石家庄050024

出　　处：《科学学与科学技术管理》2025年第1期109-121,共13页Science of Science and Management of S.& T.

基　　金：国家社科基金项目(23BJL099)。

摘　　要：新兴数字技术与传统技术之间的互动关系会如何影响经济增长?为探索解释这一问题,将整个社会经济分为家庭、物质生产、知识生产、人力资本生产等部门,且进一步将知识生产部门异质化为数字技术创新与传统技术生产两个子部门,由此构建起一个多部门内生经济增长模型,从理论层面讨论新兴数字技术与传统技术的互动关系及其对经济增长的影响。理论分析发现,数字技术创新能够直接促进经济增长,还可以通过赋能传统技术变革间接促进经济增长;但如果只考虑数字技术创新部门的单方面发展,当传统技术生产部门不及时进行数字化转型,传统技术对经济增长的贡献将减弱。进一步选用中国数据,并运用中介效应模型、门槛模型等方法对理论结果进行实证分析,证实了理论发现对中国经济发展的适用性。Technological progress is an endogenous driving force and source of economic growth.The new generation of digital technology,as the cornerstone and essential component of the digital economy,has numerous applications and a substantial impact.It plays an important driving role in technological revolution,industrial upgrading,and economic growth.The main impact of digital technology on traditional technology production is as follows:firstly,the universality and penetration of digital technology can empower the transformation of traditional technology,making it more efficient and organized in production,and thus fully unleashing the technology spillover effect of digital technology innovation;The second is that digital technology has the potential to expand market size with near-zero marginal costs,achieve cross-border competition through technological advantages,form industry monopolies with vast data resources and user groups,and inevitably compete with traditional technology to produce advantageous resources such as talent and capital,resulting in extremely strong competitive effects.In this context,the collaborative development and deep integration of digital technology and traditional technology are increasingly attracting attention from all sectors of society.There have been studies looking into the spillover and competitive effects of digital technology on traditional technology,but the theoretical and practical issue of how the interactive relationship between digital technology and traditional technology,which compete and cooperate,affects economic growth,has yet to be answered.This paper attempts to explain this issue by constructing a mathematical model for theoretical analysis and using Chinese data for empirical verification.The paper takes the fact that digital technology has efficiency advantages as a premise and divides the entire society in-to sectors such as households,material production,knowledge production,and human capital production.Furthermore,the knowledge production sector is further hetero

关 键 词：数字技术创新 传统技术变革 经济增长 技术外溢效应 技术竞争效应 

分 类 号：F015[经济管理—政治经济学] F204