宏观经济分析需要密切关注货币环境变化  

Changes in the monetary environment needs close attention in macroeconomic analysis

作　　者：于学军 Yu Xuejun

机构地区：[1]不详

出　　处：《中国银行业》2024年第12期10-11,6,共3页China Banking

摘　　要：在存款准备金率保持较低水平,利率又处于历史最低水平的情况下,随着时间推移、发酵,流动性会出现明显的放松。加之大力度培育发展新质生产力,持续做好“五篇大文章”等的不断深化,相信会创造出新的财富机会,缓解通缩影响,促进经济增长恢复新的动力。The prospects for global economic growth is dampened by lingering global geopolitical tensions in 2024.Such international background,combined with domestic cyclical and structural frictions,has put China's economic growth under certain pressure.From the perspective of the financial sector,changes in the monetary environment deserve our close attention while we forecast future development trends.The main focus is,first,externally,mainly on changes in US policies,especially the pace and extent of the Fed's interest rate cuts,and its impact on global liquidity;second,on the impact of domestic policy adjustments on economic growth.

关 键 词：宏观经济分析 存款准备金率 通缩 促进经济增长 流动性 生产力 时间推移 

分 类 号：F83[经济管理—金融学]