货物零关税背景下安徽省对RCEP其他成员国的出口潜力研究  

Research on the Export Potential of Anhui Province to Other RCEP Member States under the Tariff Relief on Goods

作　　者：权家伟 汪五一 QUAN Jiawei;WANG Wuyi(School of Business,Anhui University of Technology,Ma’anshan 243002,Anhui,China)

机构地区：[1]安徽工业大学商学院,安徽马鞍山243002

出　　处：《安徽工业大学学报(社会科学版)》2024年第4期6-11,共6页Journal of Anhui University of Technology:Social Sciences

基　　金：安徽省哲学社会科学规划重点项目(AHSKZ2017D04)。

摘　　要：以RCEP的货物贸易零关税规则安排为依据,以安徽省货物贸易出口为研究对象,利用随机前沿贸易引力模型研究安徽省对RCEP其他成员国的货物贸易出口潜力。结果显示,安徽省对RCEP其他成员国的贸易出口潜力各不相同,对东盟国家的货物贸易出口潜力显著大于对日本、韩国、澳大利亚等国家。未来安徽省应做好对零关税规则的相关解读和培训工作;建设数字化贸易基础设施;要加强政策支持,鼓励企业积极向RCEP其他成员国投资建厂;明晰对不同出口对象国应发展的差异化优势产业,挖掘出口贸易潜力。Based on the zero tariff rules of trade in goods of RCEP,the article takes the goods export of Anhui Province as the research object,and uses the stochastic frontier trade gravity model to study the potential of the export of goods of Anhui Province to RCEP member countries.The result shows that Anhui Province has different export trade potential for goods from different countries,yet the export trade potential for goods to ASEAN countries is obviously greater than that to Japan,Korea and Australia,etc.In the future,Anhui Province needs to do good in interpreting and training of the zero tariff rule,building digital trade infrastructure,encouraging enterprises to actively invest and building factories in RCEP member countries to explore overseas markets and the government needs to strengthen policy support,clarifying the differentiated advantage industries that should be developed for different export target countries,and exploit trade potential.

关 键 词：RCEP 安徽省 出口潜力 贸易引力模型 

分 类 号：F752.8[经济管理—国际贸易]