不同企业定制公交下出行选择行为演化博弈  

Evolutionary Game of Travel Choice Behavior Under Customized Bus of Different Enterprises

作　　者：胡永仕 孙金凯 林晶[2] HU Yongshi;SUN Jinkai;LIN Jing(School of Transportation,Fujian University of Technology,Fuzhou 350000,China;Department of Mathematics and Physics,Fujian Jiangxia Unviersity,Fuzhou 350000,China)

机构地区：[1]福建工程学院交通运输学院,福州350000 [2]福建江夏学院数理部,福州350000

出　　处：《武汉理工大学学报(交通科学与工程版)》2025年第1期210-217,共8页Journal of Wuhan University of Technology(Transportation Science & Engineering)

基　　金：福建省自然科学基金面上项目(2023J011102);福建省社会科学规划重点项目(FJ2022A010)。

摘　　要：基于不同定制公交模式的运营特征和机制,应用前景理论和演化博弈,构建出行效益模型,并以福州市定制公交为对象分析异质出行者在不确定环境中的定制公交选择.结果表明:当传统公交企业定制公交步行时间缩短2~4 min时,有利于吸引休闲类出行者选择该企业定制公交出行,但并没有对通勤类出行者的出行选择产生影响.当传统公交企业定制公交票价降幅1~2元或互联网企业定制公交票价涨幅2元时,通勤类出行者仍然选择互联网企业定制公交出行.当传统公交企业定制公交票价降幅1~2元或互联网企业定制公交票价涨幅2~4元时,休闲类出行者将在部分时间参照范围内选择传统公交企业定制公交出行.Based on the operation characteristics and mechanism of different customized public transport modes,the travel benefit model was constructed by applying prospect theory and evolutionary game.Taking Fuzhou customized bus as the object,the customized bus choice of heterogeneous travelers in uncertain environment was analyzed.The results show that when the walking time of traditional bus companies is shortened by 2~4 min,it is beneficial to attract leisure travelers to choose the customized bus,but it has no influence on the travel choice of commuters.When the customized bus fare of traditional bus companies drops by 1~2 yuan or the customized bus fare of Internet companies increases by 2 yuan,commuters still choose Internet companies to customize bus travel.When the customized bus fare of traditional bus companies decreases by 1~2 yuan or the customized bus fare of Internet companies increases by 2~4 yuan,leisure travelers will choose traditional bus companies to customize their bus trips within some time reference ranges.

关 键 词：定制公交 异质出行者 前景理论 演化博弈 

分 类 号：U491.17[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]