交互关联视角下中国城市劳动力技能结构对产业演化的影响及其异质性研究  

The Impact of Urban Labor Skill Structure on Industrial Evolution in China and Its Heterogeneity from the Perspective of Cross-Relatedness

作　　者：周笑琦 敖荣军[1,2] 陈京[1,2] 侯纯光 Zhou Xiaoqi;Ao Rongjun;Chen Jing;Hou Chunguang(Key Laboratory for Geographical Process Analysis and Simulation of Hubei Province,Central China Normal University,Wuhan 430079,China;College of Urban&Environmental Sciences,Central China Normal University,Wuhan 430079,China)

机构地区：[1]华中师范大学地理过程分析与模拟湖北省重点实验室,武汉430079 [2]华中师范大学城市与环境科学学院,武汉430079

出　　处：《热带地理》2025年第2期291-304,共14页Tropical Geography

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目“技能关联视角下异质劳动力区位选择机制及效应研究”(42271188);“空间溢出视角下产业多样化对经济韧性的影响机理研究:以长江中游城市群为例”(42001136);“全球高层次科研人才流动的时空演化及多重影响机制”(42301191)。

摘　　要：产业与职业密不可分。现有演化经济地理研究多关注产业关联或职业关联等单要素关联,没有对二者的交互影响及其异质性进行系统探索,多要素交互关联为理解要素间的相互作用提供了新视角。文章探讨中国城市劳动力技能结构对产业演化的内生影响,并系统分析其区域异质性与产业异质性。结果发现:1)中国城市产业与职业之间的关联性不断增加;平均产业关联密度与职业-产业交互关联密度的空间分布具有较高的一致性。2)产业-职业交互助推中国城市产业演化。中国城市产业演化均存在显著的路径依赖效应;产业-职业交互可以扩大地区产业比较优势。3)不同区域、不同产业门类分样本结果呈现一定差异,分区域看,东部地区城市和大规模城市的产业与职业交互效应更突出,中东部地区和大规模城市更可能通过技能结构与潜在产业的相关性实现路径突破;分产业门类看,劳动力技能更有助于技术密集型产业的多样化。Industry and occupation are closely interwoven.Focusing solely on industrial structure cannot adequately address regional development challenges.Multifactor cross-relatedness provides a theoretical foundation for understanding the interplay between regional industrial and occupational relatedness.This study introduces the concept of industry-occupation cross-relatedness to investigate how urban labor skills influence industrial evolution in China,while also analyzing regional and industrial heterogeneity.Specifically,we construct a city-industry panel dataset using Chinese customs import-export data(2000-2015),census data(2000 and 2010),and population sampling survey data(2005 and 2015).This dataset enables us to analyze the structural evolution of the spatial network of industry-occupation interactions.Employing a linear probability model,we examine the impact of industrial relatedness and industry–occupation cross-relatedness on industrial evolution,with a focus on regional and industrial heterogeneity.The main findings are as follows:(1)The cross-relatedness between industries and occupations in Chinese cities has increased over time.Average industrial relatedness density exhibits a significant increase,particularly in eastern regions.Cross-relatedness density shows an increase in regions with moderate cross-relatedness values but a noticeable decline in the northeastern regions.The spatial distribution of the average industrial relatedness density and industry-occupation cross-relatedness density exhibits high consistency.(2)Industry-occupation interaction drives industrial evolution in Chinese cities.A pathdependence effect is evident in industrial evolution.The synergy between industries and occupations enhances regional industrial comparative advantages.The spillover effect of locally related industries strongly supports industrial comparative advantages,second only to the influence of pre-existing industrial foundations.(3)Regional and industrial heterogeneity is notable.Regionally,the probability of pr

关 键 词：劳动力技能结构 产业关联 职业关联 交互关联视角 产业演化 异质性分析 中国 

分 类 号：C924.2[社会学—人口学]