浙江省县域共同富裕的时空特征、驱动模式及其启示  

Spatial and temporal characteristics, driving pattern and enlightenment of county scale common prosperity in Zhejiang province

作　　者：鲍海君 钟文钰 陈升杰 陈婧宁 BAO Hai-jun;ZHONG Wen-yu;CHEN Sheng-jie;CHEN Jing-ning(School of Spatial Planning and Design,Hangzhou City University,Hangzhou 310015,China)

机构地区：[1]浙大城市学院国土空间规划学院,杭州310015

出　　处：《自然资源学报》2025年第2期382-401,共20页Journal of Natural Resources

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(42271267);浙江省软科学研究计划重点项目(2023C25008)。

摘　　要：县域包含城市和乡村两个差别巨大的复杂系统,其地域系统的功能特性决定着共同富裕发展的特殊性。从县域尺度出发研究共同富裕有助于厘清共同富裕的特征、模式及其差异化发展策略。以浙江省县域为例,运用全局熵值法对其共同富裕水平展开动态测度,分析演化特征;利用时空地理加权回归模型识别各县域共同富裕发展的驱动因素,并基于此提炼共同富裕驱动模式。研究表明:浙江省县域共同富裕水平呈阶段性上升趋势,共同富裕发展存在明显的非均衡线及“双核”结构。浙江省县域共同富裕由自然、经济、人口和政策等因素驱动,且各因子的驱动作用存在时空异质性,形成16种驱动模式。应“因地制宜”“因时制宜”地发挥地理优势,改善人口、经济和政策环境,制定适宜各县域共同富裕发展的差异化路径。研究结果可为在区域互补中实现高质量发展建设共同富裕示范区的目标提供启示。On the basis of the general characteristics of common prosperity,the development of common prosperity at county scale has certain particularity,and the study of common prosperity from the county scale is helpful to explore the differentiated development path of each region.In order to analyze common prosperity at the county scale,with Zhejiang province as an example,the global entropy method is used to carry out dynamic measurement of the common prosperity level and analyze the evolution characteristics.The geographically and temporally weighted regression model is used to identify the driving factors of the development of common prosperity in counties,and refine the driving pattern of common prosperity.The results show that the level of common prosperity in Zhejiang is on the rise in stages,and the development of common prosperity has obvious disequilibrium line and"dual core"structure.The common prosperity level of counties in the province is driven by natural factors,economic factors,population factors and policies,and the driving effects of each factor have spatial and temporal heterogeneity,forming 16 driving patterns.We should give full play to the geographical advantages of the region,improve the population,economic and policy environment,and formulate a differentiated path suitable for the common prosperity and development of all counties.The results of this study provide enlightenment for realizing the goal of high-quality development and building common prosperity demonstration zone in regional complementarity.

关 键 词：共同富裕 驱动模式 差异化路径 时空地理加权回归模型 浙江省 

分 类 号：F126[经济管理—世界经济]