长江中上游地区承接制造业转移对新型城镇化的空间溢出效应分析  

Spatial Spillover Effect of Undertaking Manufacturing Transfer on New Urbanization in the Upper and Middle Reaches of the Yangtze River

作　　者：宋祖滔 卢先明 周金城[1] SONG Zutao;LU Xianming;ZHOU Jincheng(School of Economics and Management,Hunan Institute of Technology,Yueyang 414000,Hunan,China)

机构地区：[1]湖南理工学院经济与管理学院,湖南岳阳414000

出　　处：《科技和产业》2025年第4期234-241,共8页Science Technology and Industry

基　　金：湖南省教育厅科学研究项目(21C0497);湖南省社科基金重大项目(21ZDAJ008)。

摘　　要：加快推动制造业有序转移,对于提升长江经济带中上游地区新型城镇化水平,实现协调发展具有重大战略意义。基于空间杜宾模型(SDM),分析2011—2022年长江经济带中上游地区制造业转移对新型城镇化的作用机制。结果显示,中上游城市之间的制造业转移与城镇化存在明显的空间负相关性,表明过度承接产业转移不利于区域城镇化发展。进一步分析发现,由于存在地域异质性,中游地区制造业转移对城镇化的负面空间溢出效应比上游更为显著。Accelerating the orderly transfer of the manufacturing industry holds significant strategic importance for enhancing the level of new urbanization in the middle and upper reaches of the Yangtze River Economic Belt to achieve coordinated development.Based on the Spatial Durbin SDM model,the impact mechanism of the transfer of the manufacturing industry in the middle and upper reaches of the Yangtze River Economic Belt was analyzed from 2011 to 2022 on new urbanization.The results demonstrate spatial negative autocorrelation between the transfer of the manufacturing industry and urbanization in the middle and upper reaches of the cities,indicating that excessive undertaking of industrial transfer may have adverse effects on local urbanization.Further analysis reveals that due to regional heterogeneity,the negative spatial spillover effect of manufacturing industry transfer on urbanization is more significant in the middle reaches than in the upper reaches.

关 键 词：长江经济带 制造业转移 新型城镇化 主成分分析法 空间杜宾模型 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济] F129.9