中国东盟贸易对中国碳排放的影响——基于LMDI分解方法  

Impact of China-ASEAN Trade on China’s Carbon Emissions:Based on the LMDI Decomposition Method

作　　者：秦章昊 QIN Zhanghao(School of Economics,Guangxi University,Nanning 530000,China)

机构地区：[1]广西大学经济学院,南宁530004

出　　处：《科技和产业》2025年第4期366-371,共6页Science Technology and Industry

摘　　要：目前,中国东盟贸易合作规模扩大,其对中国的碳排放影响不容小觑。采用LMDI方法并将中国东盟贸易作为影响因素对2013—2022年中国碳排放进行研究。研究结果表明:能源碳排放强度效应、中国东盟进口贸易效应、经济发展水平效应、贸易条件效应、人口规模效应是促进碳排放的因素。能源强度效应、中国东盟出口贸易反效应是抑制碳排放的因素。想要降低各因素对碳排放的影响,需要优化产业结构、研发使用节能技术,改善双方贸易条件,优化进口贸易。At present,the scale of China-ASEAN trade cooperation has expanded,and its impact on China’s carbon emissions should not be underestimated.The LMDI method was used to study China’s carbon emissions from 2013 to 2022 using China-ASEAN trade as an influencing factor.The results show that the energy carbon emission intensity effect,the import trade effect of China and ASEAN,the economic development level effect,the terms of trade effect and the population size effect are the factors that promote carbon emissions.The energy intensity effect and the counter-effect of China-ASEAN export trade are the factors that inhibit carbon emissions.In order to reduce the impact of various factors on carbon emissions,it is necessary to optimize the industrial structure,develop and use energy-saving technologies,improve the terms of trade between the two sides and optimize import trade.

关 键 词：碳排放 Kaya恒等式 LMDI模型 中国东盟贸易 

分 类 号：X322[环境科学与工程—环境工程] F752.6[经济管理—国际贸易]