基于灰水足迹的天山北坡地区水资源利用可持续性评价  

Assessment of sustainability of water resource utilization on the northern slope of Tianshan Mountains based on grey water footprint

作　　者：董俊巧 刘星才[2,3] 李占玲 DONG Jungia;LIU Xingcai;LI Zhanlin(School of Water Resources and Environment,China University of Geosciences(Beijing),Bejing 100083,China;Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100101,China;University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 101408,China;Key Laboratory of Groundwater Conservation of Ministry of Water Resources(in preparation),China University of Geosciences(Beijing),Beijing 100083,China)

机构地区：[1]中国地质大学(北京)水资源与环境学院,北京100083 [2]中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,北京100101 [3]中国科学院大学,北京101408 [4]中国地质大学(北京)水利部地下水保护重点实验室(筹),北京100083

出　　处：《南水北调与水利科技(中英文)》2025年第1期69-78,共10页South-to-North Water Transfers and Water Science & Technology

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(42271032);第三次新疆综合科学考察项目(2021xjkk0806)。

摘　　要：基于2006-2020年天山北坡的GDP、水资源总量、供水量、化学需氧量(COD)与氨氮(NH3-N)排放量等基础数据,采用灰水足迹方法,对该地区水资源可持续利用进行综合评价。结果显示:天山北坡各城市灰水足迹在空间上呈现中部高于东西部的分布特征。在时间上,灰水足迹经历了先升后降的变化趋势,2016年相比2006年整体上升了11.56%,而2020年又较2016年下降了23.30%。各城市间灰水足迹的组成存在显著差异。多数城市以农业灰水足迹为主,而乌鲁木齐市生活灰水足迹也占有较大比重,石河子市的工业灰水足迹占比最大。天山北坡整体及部分城市的水资源可持续利用状态在2014-2016年出现明显好转,水资源可持续利用程度指数稳步增长。然而,博州与塔城地区指数增长速度相对较慢,表明该地区仍面临较大压力,水资源可持续利用性需进一步提升。评估结果可为当地水资源管理提供科学依据,有助于推动该地区水资源可持续利用。The northern slope of Tianshan Mountains is the economic center of gravity of Xinjiang and an important urban agglomeration in Northwest China. Water consumption on the northern slopes of the Tianshan Mountains has increased over the years with the development of society and the economy. However, the contradiction between supply and demand for water resources had been exacerbated by the low precipitation and high evaporation intensity in Northwest China. The uneven spatial and temporal distribution of water resources in this region and the serious overexploitation of groundwater severely limited the development of local economy and restricted the adjustment function of ecosystem. Therefore, it is urgent to carry out the sustainable research of water resources on the northern slope of Tianshan Mountains.Previous studies on water resources on the northern slope of Tianshan Mountains mostly adopted the index system evaluation method to evaluate the carrying capacity and safety level of water resources. In the past, there were more studies on the development and utilization of water resources, but fewer studies on the sustainable utilization of water resources, and the research time scale mostly stayed around 2015. In this study, grey water footprint method was adopted to select indicators from the two aspects of "quality" and "quantity" of water resources, comprehensively considered the impact of water quality and quantity on water resources sustainability,and extended the time scale to 2020. Therefore, based on the basic data such as GDP, total water resources, water supply, chemical oxygen demand and ammonia nitrogen emission, this study employed the grey water footprint methodology to conduct a thorough assessment of the sustainable utilization of water resources on the northern slope of Tianshan Mountains from 2006 to 2020, aiming to offer insights and guidance for the formulation of water resources planning in this region.The results indicate that there are spatial variations in the grey water footprint among c

关 键 词：水资源 水资源利用 可持续性 灰水足迹 天山北坡 

分 类 号：TV213.9[水利工程—水文学及水资源]