“过滤”和“过渡”:租住分层与流动人口定居意愿  

"Filtering"and"Transition":Stratification of Renting and the Settlement Intention of Floating Population

作　　者：刘梦欣 郝龙华 LIU Mengxin;HAO Longhua(School of Public Administration,Beihang University,Beijing 100191,China)

机构地区：[1]北京航空航天大学公共管理学院,北京100191

出　　处：《经济与管理》2025年第2期12-20,共9页Economy and Management

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(22BTJ067)。

摘　　要：流动人口是我国住房租赁的主要需求群体,住房租赁特征对流动人口定居意愿具有重要影响。基于流动人口动态监测调查数据,运用Logit模型和中介效应模型,实证检验租住分层对流动人口定居意愿的影响及其作用机制。研究表明:(1)住房租赁市场对流动人口有“过滤”或“过渡”作用,即租住公租房的流动人口更倾向在流入地租房过渡,其定居意愿更强,居住在居委会辖区次之,流动人口居住在村委会辖区对其定居意愿有负向影响。(2)社会融入在租住分层对定居意愿的影响中发挥中介作用,租住公租房的流动人口社会融入程度更高,定居意愿也更强。(3)异质性分析结果显示,租住公租房对流动人口的“过渡”作用随着城市规模增大而更为显著,即在大城市提供公租房可以让流动人口融得进、留得住,而租住在村委会辖区对不同规模城市的流动人口均具有“过滤”作用。The floating population is the main demand group of housing rental in China,and the characteristics of housing rental have an important impact on the floating population's settlement intention.Based on the dynamic monitoring data of floating population,this paper uses logit model and intermediary effect model to empirically test the influence of rental stratification on the settlement intention of floating population and its mechanism.The research shows that:(1)the housing rental market has a"filtering"or"transition"effect on the floating population,that is,the floating population who rents public housing is more inclined to rent in the transition place,and their settlement intention is stronger,and living in the area of the neighborhood committee is second,and the floating population living in the area of the village committee has a negative impact on their settlement intention;(2)The social integration of the floating population plays an intermediary role in the influence of housing stratification on the settlement intention.The floating population who rents public housing has a higher degree of social integration and a stronger settlement intention;(3)Heterogeneity analysis results show that the"transition"effect of public rental housing on the floating population becomes more significant with the increase of urban scale,that is,the provision of public rental housing in big cities can enable the floating population to integrate and stay,while the rental housing in the areas of village committees has a"filtering"effect on the floating population in cities of different sizes.

关 键 词：流动人口 租住分层 住有所居 定居意愿 

分 类 号：F062.6[经济管理—政治经济学]