Research on the Evolution of the Spatiotemporal Patterns and Influencing Factors of China’s Agricultural Green Resilience  

作　　者：Chen Yihui Li Minjie 

机构地区：[1]Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University [2]Fujian Jiangxia University

出　　处：《Contemporary Social Sciences》2025年第1期15-30,共16页当代社会科学(英文)

基　　金：supported by the Research on the Mechanisms and Policies for the Collaborative Promotion of High-Quality Development in the Private Enterprises of Fujian Province Through Digital Finance and Green Finance(FJ2024MGCA021);a key project of basic theory research in philosophy and social sciences guided by Marxism in universities in Fujian Province and Research on the Mechanism and Pathways for Empowering Green Innovation in Fujian Province Through the Deep Integration of Digital Economy and Real Economy(FJKX-2023XKB003);a Science and Technology Innovation Think Tank Research Project of Fujian Association for Science and Technology.

摘　　要：This paper created an evaluation index system for agricultural green resilience,consisting of five dimensions:resistibility,recoverability,adaptability,innovatability,and reconstructability.We used the entropy method to measure the agricultural green resilience levels of 30 provinces(municipalities/autonomous regions)in China from 2007 to 2021 and employed spatial Markov chains and geographic detectors to reveal the dynamics and evolution of the patterns and influencing factors of the agricultural green resilience.The study shows that the level of agricultural green resilience in China displayed a slight upward trend from 2007 to 2021,but the overall level remained low.Spatially,a distribution pattern of“eastern China>central China>northeastern China>western China”was observed.The transfer process for agricultural green resilience exhibited a“path dependence”characteristic that maintained its initial state,while it also showed a“trickle-down effect.”This means that the regions adjacent to provinces(municipalities/autonomous regions)with higher levels of agricultural green resilience tend to have an increased probability of an upward movement in their ranking.However,such movements are not leapfrogging and only occur at the adjacent levels.The spatial differentiations in the agricultural green resilience levels are primarily driven by the technological innovation capacity and market maturity,with interactions between these factors exhibiting both dual-factor enhancements and nonlinear enhancements.Accordingly,efforts should be made to strengthen support for the less-developed regions,increase research and development investment in the agricultural sector,and improve the market systems for agricultural products to enhance agricultural green resilience.

关 键 词：AGRICULTURE green resilience spatiotemporal patterns spatial Markov chains geographic detector 

分 类 号：F323[经济管理—产业经济] X322[环境科学与工程—环境工程]