物流高质量发展对城乡经济融合的影响:激励效应与作用机制  

The Impact of High-quality Logistics Development on Urban-rural Economic Integration:Research on Incentive Effect and Mechanism of Action

作　　者：薛阳 贾慧 冯银虎 XUE Yang;JIA Hui;FENG Yinhu(School of Economics and Management,Inner Mongolia University of Technology,Hohhot 010051,China;Institute of Industrial Economics,Chinese Academy of Social Sciences,Beijing 100006,China)

机构地区：[1]内蒙古工业大学经济管理学院,呼和浩特010051 [2]中国社会科学院工业经济研究所,北京100006

出　　处：《哈尔滨商业大学学报(社会科学版)》2025年第1期79-92,共14页Journal of Harbin University of Commerce:Social Science Edition

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目“组态视角下流域产业转型升级的驱动机理、政策效果与路径选择-以黄河几字湾为例”(72364028);内蒙古自治区教育厅“党的二十大精神研究”哲学社会科学重大专项“内蒙古发展泛口岸经济、通道经济路径研究”(ESDZX202314);内蒙古自治区哲学社会科学规划项目“内蒙古资源型地区发展新路径研究”(2023NDC194);内蒙古自治区统计科学研究重点项目“新发展格局下内蒙古黄河流域产业升级的政策效应与机制研究”(TJXHKT202401)。

摘　　要：物流高质量发展为推动城乡经济融合提供了重要机遇。基于2013—2022年省级面板数据,考察物流高质量发展对城乡经济融合的激励效应与作用机制。研究发现,物流高质量发展能够显著促进城乡经济融合。异质性检验发现,物流高质量发展对城乡经济融合促进效果呈现中部地区>东部地区>西部地区且高农业现代化水平地区>低农业现代化水平地区的现象。传导效应检验发现,物流高质量发展分别通过农业劳动力转移和消费市场规模扩大促进城乡经济融合。门槛效应检验发现,农业劳动力转移存在双门槛效应,物流高质量发展对城乡经济融合的影响随着农业劳动力转移程度的加深呈“边际效应递减”。At present,the high-quality development of logistics provides an important opportunity to promote the integration of urban and rural economy.Based on the provincial panel data from 2013 to 2022,this paper empirically analyzes the incentive effect and mechanism of high-quality logistics development on urban-rural economic integration.The results show that:The benchmark regression test finds that the high-quality development of logistics can significantly promote the integration of urban and rural economy,and this conclusion is still significantly established after a series of robustness tests.Heterogeneity test found that the promotion effect of high-quality logistics development on urban-rural economic integration showed that the central region>the eastern region>the western region and the high agricultural modernization level region>the low agricultural modernization level region.The transmission effect test shows that the high-quality development of logistics promotes the integration of urban and rural economy through the transfer of agricultural labor force and the expansion of consumer market scale.Threshold effect test shows that there is a double threshold effect in the transfer of agricultural labor force,and the impact of high-quality logistics development on urban-rural economic integration decreases with the deepening of the transfer of agricultural labor force.

关 键 词：物流高质量发展 城乡经济融合 农业劳动力转移 消费市场规模 

分 类 号：F259.27[经济管理—国民经济]