基于投入产出模型的中国汽车产业关联与波及效应分析  

Analysis of Linkages and Ripple Effects in China's Automobile Industry Based on Input-Output Modelling

作　　者：邵新媛 冯英娟[1] Shao Xinyuan;Feng Yingjuan(School of Economics and Management,Changchun University of Science and Technology,Changchun Jilin 130012,China)

机构地区：[1]长春理工大学经济管理学院,吉林长春130012

出　　处：《现代工业经济和信息化》2025年第2期21-23,共3页Modern Industrial Economy and Informationization

摘　　要：通过对2018年和2020年中国149部门投入产出表进行整理,计算我国汽车产业的产业关联度以及产业波动效应等指标,定量分析我国汽车产业对产业链中的经济部门的关联影响和其他经济部门的波及影响。研究发现:我国汽车产业对自身依赖度最高,其次是上游产业原材料供应的产业部门,对下游产业关联尤其是金融业有待加强,且汽车产业对于其他经济部门的波及效应显著,其消费、投资、出口的最终需求呈上升趋势,显著地带动了众多相关产业的发展。By collating the input-output table of 149 sectors in China in 2018 and 2020,we calculate the industrial association degree of China's automobile industry and the industry fluctuation effect and other indicators,and quantitatively analyse the linkage impact of China's automobile industry on the economic sectors in the industry chain and the ripple effect of other economic sectors.The study found that:China's automobile industry has the highest dependence on itself,followed by the upstream industry of raw material supply,and the downstream industry linkage,especially the financial industry,needs to be strengthened,and the ripple effect of the automobile industry on other economic sectors is significant,and the final demand for its consumption,investment,and export is on an upward trend,which significantly drives the development of many related industries.

关 键 词：汽车产业 产业关联 产业波及 投入产出模型 

分 类 号：F416.88[经济管理—产业经济]