数字乡村战略实施对农民增收的影响研究——基于PSM-DID检验  

Research on the Impact of Digital Village Strategy Implementation on Farmers’Income Increase:Based on PSM-DID Test

作　　者：杨冰 朱紫嫣 YANG Bing;ZHU Ziyan(School of Business Administration,Chaohu University,Hefei 238000,China)

机构地区：[1]巢湖学院工商管理学院,安徽合肥238000

出　　处：《信阳师范大学学报(哲学社会科学版)》2025年第2期46-51,共6页Journal of Xinyang Normal University(Philosophy and Social Sciences Edition)

基　　金：安徽省高等学校科学研究项目(2022AH051697);巢湖学院校级重点科研项目(XWZ-202207);安徽省高校人文社科项目(SK2021A0604)。

摘　　要：数字乡村建设是推动乡村振兴和实现共同富裕的重要路径,评估数字乡村实施效果至关重要,基于我国20个省域685个县域2016年—2022年的面板数据,采用双重差分法(DID)和倾向匹配—双重差分法(PSM-DID)估计数字乡村战略实施对农民增收的影响,并进行区域异质性检验。研究表明,第一,无论是DID还是PSM-DID方法估计,数字乡村战略政策实施均能促进农村居民增收,而且这一结论也通过了平行趋势检验、安慰剂检验;第二,数字乡村建设对农民增收效应的区域异质性检验结果显示,东部地区数字乡村试点对农民收入增收效果最好。最后,文章从乡村数字基础设施建设、农业产业数字化转型及实施数字乡村差异化战略方面提出建议,旨在为提高农民收入,促进城乡均等化提供政策启示。The construction of digital villages is an important path to promote rural revitalization and achieve common prosperity,and it is crucial to assess the effect of digital village implementation.Based on the panel data of 685 counties in 20 provinces and regions of China from 2016 to 2022,the impact of the implementation of the digital village strategy on the farmers’income is estimated by using the double-difference method(DID)and the propensity-matching-double-difference method(PSM-DID),and a regional heterogeneity test.The following main conclusions are drawn:first,both DID and PSM-DID methods estimate that the implementation of digital village strategy policy can promote rural residents’income increase,and this conclusion also passes the parallel trend test and placebo test;Secondly,after the regional heterogeneity test of the effect of digital village construction on farmers’income increase,the digital village pilot in the eastern region has the best effect on the increase of farmers’income,followed by the western and central regions.Finally,recommendations are made in terms of rural digital infrastructure construction,digital transformation of the agricultural industry and the implementation of a digital rural differentiation strategy to provide policy insights for raising farmers’incomes and promoting urban-rural parity.

关 键 词：数字乡村 农村居民收入 倾向匹配—双重差分法 政策评估 

分 类 号：F323[经济管理—产业经济]