土地利用转型与乡村转型发展耦合关系研究——以江苏省县域为例  

Coupling relationship between land use transition and rural transformation development:A case study of county-level regions in Jiangsu Province

作　　者：戈大专 王如敏 卢小雪 GE Dazhuan;WANG Rumin;LU Xiaoxue(School of Geography,Nanjing Normal University,Nanjing 210023,China;Jiangsu Center for Collaborative Innovation in Geographical Information Resource Development and Application,Nanjing 210023,China)

机构地区：[1]南京师范大学地理科学学院,南京210023 [2]江苏省地理信息资源开发与利用协同创新中心,南京210023

出　　处：《资源科学》2025年第1期196-210,共15页Resources Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(42271205);江苏省社会科学基金项目(22EYD007)。

摘　　要：【目的】土地利用转型与乡村转型发展的耦合水平在不同社会经济发展阶段或区域表现出明显的梯度分异特征,理清二者耦合关系为推动乡村可持续振兴创造条件。【方法】本文以2000—2020年江苏省县域为例,解析其土地利用转型与乡村转型发展耦合关系的理论框架,应用耦合协调与VAR(Vector Autoregressive Model)模型探讨二者时空演变特征及相互作用机理。【结果】①研究期内,江苏省县域土地利用转型与乡村转型发展呈现由低速异质性向高速同质化转变的格局特征,表现为局部地区领先和梯度有序提升的宏观特征;②江苏省土地利用转型与乡村转型发展的耦合关系经历了从全省失调到部分低度耦合,再从低度耦合向中、高度耦合转变的两个阶段,呈现出逐年上升、不断向好的发展态势,在空间格局上总体表现出“南高北低”的梯度分异格局;③土地利用转型与乡村转型发展耦合关系复杂,后者是前者的原因与驱动力,前者为后者提供物质基础与空间支持,二者存在着明显的互促关系,乡村转型发展不仅受到自身影响还受到土地利用转型的冲击,并表现出较强的自我促进特征,土地利用转型对乡村发展产生一定的胁迫效应。【结论】土地利用转型与乡村转型发展的耦合关系决定了区域乡村转型的内在动力,调控二者关系为优化乡村空间治理体系和助推乡村可持续发展提供有效路径。[Objective]The coupling level between land use transition and rural transformation development shows obvious gradient differentiation characteristics at different stages of socio-economic development or in different regions,and clarifying the coupling relationship between the two systems creates conditions for promoting sustainable rural revitalization.[Methods]This paper took the county-level administrative regions in Jiangsu Province as an example from 2000 to 2020,analyzed the theoretical framework of the coupling relationship between land use transition and rural transformation development,and applied the coupling coordination and VAR model to explore their spatial and temporal evolution characteristics and interaction mechanism.[Results](1)During the study period(2000-2020),the land use transition and rural transformation development development in counties of Jiangsu Province presented a pattern of evolving from low-speed heterogeneity to high-speed homogeneity,characterized by the macroscopic features of leading in some local areas and an orderly gradient improvement.(2)The coupling relationship of land use transition and rural transformation development in Jiangsu Province had undergone two stages:Transition from the province’s imbalance to partial low coupling,then from low coupling to high coupling.Overall,it showed a continuously improving trend year by year.In terms of spatial pattern,it presented a gradient differentiation pattern of“high in the south and low in the north”.(3)The coupling relationship between the land use transition and rural transformation development was complex.Rural trasformation development was the cause and driving force of for land use transition,while land use transition provided material basis and spatial support for rural transformation development.There was a strong mutual promotion relationship between the them.Rural transformation development was not only affected by itself but also impacted by the land use transition,and showed strong self-promotional characterist

关 键 词：土地利用转型 乡村转型发展 耦合关系 梯度分异 江苏省 

分 类 号：F327[经济管理—产业经济] F301.2