贸易冲击的劳动力市场效应研究新进展  

New Research Progress on Local Labor Effect of Trade Shock

作　　者：雷绍海 田曦[1] LEI Shao-hai;TIAN Xi(College of Economic and Management,Nanjing Agricultural University,Nanjing 210095,China)

机构地区：[1]南京农业大学经济管理学院,南京210095

出　　处：《上海对外经贸大学学报》2025年第2期45-66,共22页Journal of Shanghai University of International Business and Economics

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目“进口冲击与保障措施对农户和企业行为调整的影响:基于食糖产业的实证研究与政策模拟”(项目编号:72473068);江苏省高校哲学社会科学实验室南京农业大学“大食物安全治理与政策智能实验室”项目资助。

摘　　要：近年来,“中国进口冲击”(China import shock)在西方学界引起了广泛讨论。有学者认为,中国加入WTO后对美出口的长期增长对地方劳动力市场造成巨大冲击和就业损失,此后诸多学者分别从不同方法、变量、维度、国家等层面对贸易冲击的劳动力市场效应展开了大量分析。西方学界针对与中国开展贸易带来的成本和收益,以及贸易自由化和贸易保护主义等不同政策取向展开了广泛讨论。然而,目前尚未有研究对贸易冲击的劳动力市场效应进行系统归纳和整理。基于此,本文从识别方法、关键影响、效应评估、适应策略等多个层次对贸易冲击的劳动力市场效应研究新进展进行梳理和评述,并探讨现有研究的不足以及未来方向,为掌握贸易冲击对地方劳动力市场的影响提供有益参考。In recent years,the“China Import Shock”has become a prominent topic in Western academic discourse.Some Scholars argued that China’s long-term export growth to the U.S.following its WTO accession has had a profound negative impact on local labor markets and resulted in signifi cant employment losses,this concept has sparked a wave of subsequent research.Scholars have since employed various methods,variables,and dimensions to analyze the labor market eff ects of trade shocks across diff erent countries and contexts.The re-evaluation of the costs and benefi ts of trade with China has sparked widespread debate in Western academia,with diverging views on policy approaches like trade liberalization and protectionism.However,existing studies lack a systematic summary and organization of the labor market eff ects of such trade shocks.This paper seeks to fi ll this gap by systematically reviewing the classic literature on trade shocks,focusing on key aspects such as identification methods,primary impacts,effect assessments,and adaptation strategies.By doing so,we aim to summarize the main fi ndings on the labor market eff ects of trade shocks and the prevailing viewpoints in the field.The objective of this paper is to critically review recent developments in research on the labor market eff ects of trade shocks,highlighting both the gaps in the current literature and potential future research directions.This review aims to provide a solid foundation for further studies and off er valuable insights for better understanding the impacts of trade shocks on local labor markets.

关 键 词：贸易冲击 就业工资 地方劳动力市场 移动—份额工具变量 

分 类 号：E24[军事—军事理论] F14[经济管理—世界经济] F16