信息消费对中国高质量出口的影响  

The Impact of Information Consumption on China's High-Quality Exports

作　　者：赵红岩[1] 尹天宝 张省博 ZHAO Hongyan;YIN Tianbao;ZHANG Shengbo(Glorious Sun School of Business and Management,Donghua University,Shanghai 200051;School of Public Finance and Taxation,Zhongnan University of Economics and Law,Wuhan 430073,China)

机构地区：[1]东华大学旭日工商管理学院,上海200051 [2]中南财经政法大学财政税务学院,湖北武汉430073

出　　处：《广东财经大学学报》2025年第1期32-48,共17页Journal of Guangdong University of Finance & Economics

基　　金：国家社会科学基金一般项目(21BGL014)。

摘　　要：激发消费潜力是打通国内大循环,加快建设国内国际“双循环”新发展格局的重要环节,对提升出口技术复杂度、推动中国高质量出口、实现高水平对外开放具有重大战略意义。基于2009—2022年269个地级市面板数据,以国家信息消费试点改革构建双重差分模型,研究信息消费对中国高质量出口的影响。研究发现,信息消费能显著促进出口技术复杂度提升,推动中国高质量出口,该结论经过一系列稳健性检验后依然成立。异质性分析表明,信息消费的推动效果在大规模、非资源型、高信息基础设施、低收入差距和低污染程度城市更为明显。机制分析发现,技术创新效应、外资流入效应、消费倍增效应和市场竞争效应是信息消费促进出口技术复杂度提升以推动中国高质量出口的重要影响渠道;信息消费推动出口技术复杂度提升的效果受到人力资本、金融发展和知识产权保护水平的正向调节作用。拓展性分析发现,信息消费对高质量出口产生扩散效应,显著提高邻近城市出口技术复杂度。Unleashing consumption potential is a crucial step of facilitating domestic circulation and promoting the new development paradigm with“dual circulation”.It has significant strategic implication for promoting the technological complexity of export,driving high-quality exports from China,and pursuing high-level opening up.Based on panel data from 269 prefecture-level cities from 2009 to 2022,this study analyzes the impact of information consumption on China's high-quality exports,utilizing pilot reform on the national information consumption to build a difference-in-differences model.The research shows that the consumption can significantly promote the technological complexity of export,thereby advancing China's high-quality exports.This conclusion remains valid after a series of robustness tests.Heterogeneity analysis indicates that the promoting effect of information consumption is more pronounced in cities with large-scale,non-resource-based,and highly developed information infrastructure,low-income disparity,and low pollution.Mechanism analysis reveals that the effects of technological innovation,foreign capital inflow,consumption multiplier,and market competition are the important channels through which information consumption promotes the technological complexity of export to push forward China's high-quality exports.The effect of information consumption in promoting the technological complexity of exports is positively up-regulated by human capital,financial development,and intellectual property protection.Extension analysis finds that information consumption has a diffusion effect on high-quality exports,significantly increasing the technological complexity of export in neighboring cities.

关 键 词：信息消费 出口技术复杂度 高质量出口 双重差分 

分 类 号：F49[经济管理—产业经济] F746.12