土地征收经历、价值幻觉与离农农户承包权退出意愿  

Land Expropriation Experience,Illusion of Value,and the Willingness to Withdraw Contract Rights among Off-farm Rural Households

作　　者：邓伟华 米运生[1] 薛钊杰 DENG Weihua;MI Yunsheng;XUE Zhaojie(College of Economics and Management,South China Agricultural University,Guangzhou 510642,China;Institute of Industrial Economics,Jinan University,Guangzhou 510632,China)

机构地区：[1]华南农业大学经济管理学院,广东广州510642 [2]暨南大学产业经济研究院,广东广州510632

出　　处：《中国土地科学》2025年第1期60-69,共10页China Land Science

基　　金：国家社科基金重大项目(19ZDA115);清华大学中国农村研究院博士论文奖学金项目(202307)。

摘　　要：研究目的:从农地财产功能视角切入,探究农户离农但不愿退地现象之谜,为完善承包权退出政策提供决策参考。研究方法:基于全国性的微观调查数据进行实证,运用外生政策冲击与农地禀赋差异构造调节效应模型强化因果结论,并使用工具变量缓解内生性。研究结果:(1)以征收经历表征的农地财产功能预期显著抑制了离农农户的承包权退出意愿,解释了农户离农不退地的行为逻辑。(2)外生的撤县设区政策和开发区设立强化了农户土地征收预期,从而正向调节抑制作用;同时,抑制作用随着农地数量和质量的提升而增强,佐证了基础结论。(3)征收经历诱使农户将承包地价值锚定为征收补偿价格,由此形成价值幻觉,进而倾向于将农地作为增值资产持有而非退出承包权。(4)对于进城落户、制度性养老保障完善、非农就业稳定和高物质资本等既有政策的锚定对象,抑制效应反而更加显著。研究结论:农地财产功能已成为离农农户退地的羁绊,应引入市场主体参与承包权退出机制构建,根据农民对土地功能的不同诉求,构造多元化的承包权退出模式,同时加强耕地用途管制,降低农户对土地的价值幻觉。The purpose of this study is to explore why non-agricultural rural households retain land contract rights(LCR)despite being off-farm,to offer the insight for land policy.The research methods of probit model and mediation effect model are used based on national micro-survey data.The results show that:1)land expropriation experience significantly deters farmers from withdrawing LCR.2)Exogenous policies such as the withdrawal of county-level divisions and the establishment of development zones have reinforced farmers’expectations of land expropriation,thereby positively moderating the inhibitory effect.Moreover,the inhibitory effect is enhanced with the increase in the quantity and quality of farmland,supporting the basic conclusion.3)Land expropriation experience leads farmers to equate land value with the compensation prices,fostering an illusion that prompts them to retain land as an appreciating asset instead of withdrawing LCR.4)For policy anchor targets,the inhibitory effect is even more pronounced.In conclusion,the property function of farmland has become an impediment for off-farm rural households to withdraw LCR.The government should involve market entities in establishing LCR withdrawal mechanisms and develop diversified withdrawal models to accommodate the varying functional demands of farmers.Additionally,it should strengthen the regulation of land use to mitigate the farmers’overvalued perceptions of land.

关 键 词：土地承包权退出 土地征收 价值幻觉 农地功能 

分 类 号：F321.1[经济管理—产业经济]