农业农村数字化助力农业“双碳”目标实现  

Digitalization in Agriculture and Rural Areas Helps to Achieve the Goal of“Carbon Peaking and Carbon Neutrality”in Agriculture

作　　者：李晓阳[1,2] 刘芮含 周承绪 LI Xiaoyang;LIU Ruihan;ZHOU Chengxu(College of Economics and Management,Southwest University,Chongqing 400715,China;National Center of Technology Innovation for Pigs,Chongqing 402460,China)

机构地区：[1]西南大学经济管理学院,重庆400715 [2]国家生猪技术创新中心,重庆402460

出　　处：《西南大学学报(自然科学版)》2025年第3期84-96,共13页Journal of Southwest University(Natural Science Edition)

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71373215);重庆市社会科学规划重点项目(2021NDZD08);国家畜牧技术创新中心先导科技项目(NCTIP-XD/C18)。

摘　　要：实现农业“双碳”目标是应对全球气候变化挑战的关键举措。农业碳排放强度是衡量农业“双碳”目标实现程度的重要指标。农业农村数字化能否成为降低农业碳排放强度的关键驱动力?选取2011-2022年中国31个省份(除港澳台外)的面板数据,运用动态面板模型分析农业农村数字化对农业碳排放强度的影响,并采用动态面板门槛模型分析该影响是否存在门槛效应,为实现农业“双碳”目标提供理论依据和量化支持。研究发现:农业农村数字化能显著降低农业碳排放强度;随着农村人力资本水平和环境规制水平的提升,农业农村数字化对农业碳排放强度的抑制作用逐渐增强;农业农村数字化对农业碳排放强度的抑制作用在西部地区、非粮食主产区和2016-2022年尤为显著。Achieving the“Carbon Peaking and Carbon Neutrality”goal of agriculture is a key measure to address the challenge of global climate change.Agricultural carbon emission intensity is an important index to measure the realization of agricultural“Carbon Peaking and Carbon Neutrality”goal.Can digitalization of agriculture and rural areas be an important engine for reducing agricultural carbon intensity?This paper selects the panel data of 31 provinces in China except Hong Kong,Macao and Taiwan from 2011 to 2022,uses the dynamic panel model to empirically test the impact of digitalization in agriculture and rural areas on agricultural carbon emission intensity.The dynamic panel threshold model was used to study whether the impact had a threshold effect.This will provide theoretical basis and quantitative support for how to realize the goal of“Carbon Peaking and Carbon Neutrality”in agriculture.The results show that digitalization in agriculture and rural areas can significantly reduce agricultural carbon emission intensity.With the improvement of rural human capital level and environmental regulation level,the inhibition effect of digitalization in agriculture and rural areas on agricultural carbon emission intensity is gradually enhanced.The inhibition effect of digitalization in agriculture and rural areas on agricultural carbon emission intensity is particularly significant in the western region,non-major grain producing areas and 2016-2022.

关 键 词：农业农村数字化 农业碳排放强度 动态面板门槛模型 

分 类 号：F323.2[经济管理—产业经济]