数字乡村建设对农业产业链韧性的影响研究  

Research on the Impact of Digital Rural Construction on the Resilience of Agricultural Industry Chain

作　　者：张琼 李扬 李茂林 单妮娜[3] ZHANG Qiong;LI Yang;LI Maolin;SHAN Nina(School of Tourism Ecology and Environment,GuiLin Tourism University,Guilin Guangxi 541006,China;Graduate School,Lyceum of the Philippines University,Manila 0900,Philippines;Tourism Geography Research Center,Guilin Tourism University,Guilin Guangxi 541006,China)

机构地区：[1]桂林旅游学院旅游生态与环境学院,广西桂林541006 [2]菲律宾莱西姆大学研究生院,菲律宾马尼拉0900 [3]桂林旅游学院旅游地理研究中心,广西桂林541006

出　　处：《西南大学学报(自然科学版)》2025年第3期129-140,共12页Journal of Southwest University(Natural Science Edition)

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目(23YJA880024)。

摘　　要：基于2012-2020年中国30个省份面板数据,构建多种计量模型考察数字乡村建设与农业产业链韧性的关系。研究发现:数字乡村建设能够显著推动农业产业链韧性提升,且该结论在考虑内生性问题、替换核心解释变量、更换计量模型后仍成立。异质性分析表明:数字乡村建设的促进作用存在显著的地区异质性特征,具体表现为东部地区最强、中部地区次之、西部地区最小。中介效应检验结果显示,数字乡村建设可通过促进农业科技创新驱动农业产业链韧性提升。调节效应检验结果表明:市场化对数字乡村建设与农业产业链韧性的关系发挥正向调节作用。提出加大数字基础设施建设、强化农业科技创新力度、实施差异化数字发展举措、深化市场化改革进程等政策建议。Based on the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2012 to 2020,the benchmark econometric model,intermediary effect model and regulatory effect model are used to empirically examine the impact of digital rural construction on the resilience of agricultural industry chain.The research finds that the construction of digital countryside played a significant role in promoting the agricultural industry chain,and this conclusion is still valid after a variety of robustness tests.The promotion effect of digital rural construction on the resilience of agricultural industry chain had significant regional heterogeneity,which was the strongest in the eastern region,followed by the central region,and the smallest in the western region.The intermediary effect test results show that the construction of digital countryside can indirectly drive the improvement of agricultural industrial chain resilience by promoting agricultural science and technology innovation.The results of the adjustment effect test show that marketization played a positive role in regulating the relationship between digital rural construction and agricultural industry chain resilience.On this basis,it is proposed to increase the construction of digital infrastructure,strengthen agricultural science and technology innovation,implement differentiated digital development initiatives,and deepen the process of market-oriented reform.

关 键 词：数字乡村建设 农业产业链韧性 中介效应模型 调节效应模型 

分 类 号：F321[经济管理—产业经济]