重大动物疫病经济成本评估:方法、应用与研究展望  

Economic cost assessment of major infectious animal diseases:Methods,applications and research prospects

作　　者：邓思星 陈龙 李剑[1] DENG Sixing;CHEN Long;LI Jian(School of Economics and Management,Huazhong Agricultural University,Wuhan 430070,China)

机构地区：[1]华中农业大学经济管理学院,武汉430070

出　　处：《中国农业大学学报》2025年第4期300-314,共15页Journal of China Agricultural University

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目(72173052,72473048);华中农业大学交叉科学研究专项(2662024JC007)。

摘　　要：为了解重大动物疫病经济影响的评估方法,准确评估和分析疫病的经济成本,以期构建和完善疫病防控体系。本研究从经济成本的视角出发,梳理国内外相关文献,阐述了重大动物疫病经济影响范畴,总结了动物疫病经济成本主要的评估方法及应用案例。研究发现:现有文献存在数据范围不够广泛、研究视角较为微观、以回溯型调查为主等局限性。针对如何更有效地推进动物疫病经济成本评估研究,构建一套具有我国特色的、科学有效的动物疫病经济成本评估模型,本研究提出了有关研究展望与启示:一是推进“流行病学模型与经济模型相结合”,加强基础数据收集与分析;二是推进“宏观与微观分析相结合”,发展本土化成本评估模型;三是推进“事前评估与事后评估相结合”,强化风险评估与预警研究。To study the evaluation method of the economic impact of major infectious animal diseases,accurately evaluate and analyze the economic cost of major infectious animal diseases,and construct and improve the prevention and control system of major infectious animal diseases.From the economic cost perspective,this study sorted out the relevant literature published domestically and internationally,expounded the economic impact categories of major infectious animal diseases,and summarized the economic cost evaluation methods and application cases of major infectious animal diseases.The results showed that:There are some limitations in the existing literature,such as insufficient data range,microscopic research perspective,and mainly retrospective investigation.Aiming at how to effectively promote the economic cost assessment of animal epidemics and build a set of scientific and effective models of economic cost assessment of animal epidemics with Chinese characteristics,this study put forward relevant research prospects and enlightenment:The first is to promote the“combination of epidemiological model and economic model”and strengthen the collection and analysis of basic data;The second is to promote the“combination of macro and micro analysis”and develop the localization cost assessment model;The third is to promote the“combination of pre-assessment and post-assessment”and strengthen risk assessment and early warning research.

关 键 词：动物疫病 社会损失 经济成本 成本评估 文献综述 

分 类 号：F323.7[经济管理—产业经济]