省域科技安全水平测度及时空差异演变  

Measurement and Spatiotemporal Evolution of Provincial-LevelScience and Technology Security

作　　者：梁诗 黄栋[1] 贺骥 Liang Shi;Huang Dong;He Ji(College of Public Administration,Huazhong University of Science and Technology,Wuhan 430074,China;School of Business and Trade,Zhejiang Changzheng Vocational and Technical College,Hangzhou 310023,China)

机构地区：[1]华中科技大学公共管理学院,湖北武汉430074 [2]浙江长征职业技术学院商务与贸易学院,浙江杭州310023

出　　处：《中国科技论坛》2025年第3期98-107,共10页Forum on Science and Technology in China

基　　金：华中科技大学双一流建设项目基金“2024年双一流建设经费-自主创新-东盟研究中心中国东盟科技创新与科技安全合作”(5001407094);2023年度湖北省科技创新人才及服务专项软科学研究项目“湖北省科技安全风险现状与对策研究”(2023EDA031)。

摘　　要：以系统理论为指导,本文构建涵盖科技体系完整性、核心技术控制力、自主创新能力、风险抵御能力等内部因素以及国际科技合作与竞争、经济与贸易环境、法制环境、社会文化因素等外部环境变量的省域科技安全评价指标体系,对2018—2022年中国省级行政单元的科技安全水平进行测算。权重赋值及综合评价方法采用熵权法和优劣解距离法(TOPSIS)。研究结果揭示,在所考察期间,中国各省的科技安全水平整体呈现“东高西低,南强北弱”的空间格局,以北京及广东、江苏等沿海地区为强势区域,形成“高-高聚集区”。其次,从空间相关与集聚角度而言,中国各区域的科技安全水平基本呈正相关,然而自相关性随着时间推移逐渐减弱。Guided by systems theory,this paper constructed a provincial-level science and technology security evaluation index system.The system encompasses internal factors such as the integrity of the scientific and technological system,control capability over core technologies,independent innovation capacity,and risk resistance capacity,along with external environmental variables including international scientific-technological cooperation and competition,economic and trade conditions,legal environment,and socio-cultural factors.The science and technology security levels of China's provincial administrative units from 2018 to 2022 were assessed.The weights were assigned and evaluated using the entropy weight method and the Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution(TOPSIS).The results reveal that during the study period,provincial science and technology security levels exhibited an overall spatial pattern of“higher in the east and lower in the west;stronger in the south and weaker in the north.”Beijing,Guangdong,Jiangsu,and other coastal regions emerged as prominent“high-high agglomeration zones.”Moreover,spatial correlation analysis indicates a general positive correlation among regional science and technology security levels across China,though the autocorrelation gradually weakened over time.

关 键 词：省域维度 科技安全 时空差异 熵权-TOPSIS法 

分 类 号：G250.2[文化科学—图书馆学]