印太视域下德国对东南亚地区政策的调整  

Germany’s Policy Adjustment Towards Southeast Asia in the Indo-Pacific Context

作　　者：邱洋 QIU Yang

机构地区：[1]南开大学周恩来政府管理学院

出　　处：《南亚东南亚研究》2024年第6期73-97,151,152,共27页South and Southeast Asian Studies

摘　　要：德国将“印太地区”定义为决定21世纪国际秩序的关键区域,并视东南亚地区为“印太”的心脏地带。德国对东南亚地区的政策也因此成为德国“印太战略”中的重点内容。在中美战略竞争背景下,德国对东南亚地区的政策发生了较为明显的变化,表现为更频繁的高层战略互动、更紧密的经贸关系和更受重视的安全合作。综合来看,德国对东南亚地区政策的调整主要受三方面因素的驱动:一是为了应对所谓的“中国威胁”;二是为了抓住东南亚地区的发展机遇;三是出于维护美德同盟的战略需要,但德国也在努力避免同盟困境,谋求独立的战略空间。德国对东南亚地区政策的调整将会给东南亚国家、德国自身、中国以及地区局势带来显著影响。与此同时,德国与东南亚国家之间的利益分歧,中国在区域经济结构中所占据的优势地位,以及德国所面临的内外掣肘都将制约德国对东南亚地区政策的实施效果。Germany defines the“Indo-Pacific”region as the key area in shaping the international order of the 21st century and regards Southeast Asia as the core of the“Indo-Pacific”.Germany’s policy towards Southeast Asia has become a key element of its“Indo-Pacific Strategy”.In the context of strategic competition between China and the United States,Germany’s policy towards Southeast Asia has undergone significant adjustments,characterized by more frequent high-level strategic interactions,closer economic and trade relations,and greater emphasis on security cooperation.Germany’s policy shift towards Southeast Asia is driven by three factors:responding to the“China Threat,”seizing regional development opportunities,and balancing transatlantic ties with strategic autonomy.This shift will significantly impact Southeast Asia,Germany,China,and the region.Meanwhile,the differing interests between Germany and Southeast Asian countries,China’s dominant position in the regional economic structure,and the internal and external constraints Germany faces will all limit the effectiveness of its policy implementation towards the region.

关 键 词：“印太战略” 中美战略竞争 德国 东南亚地区 美德同盟 

分 类 号：D851.6[政治法律—政治学] D833[政治法律—外交学]