双循环视角下产业分工深化与国内外增加值贸易——基于308个地级市的考察  

Deepening Industrial Division of Labor and Domestic-Foreign Value-Added Trade from the Perspective of Dual Circulation Pattern:An Investigation Based on 308 Prefecture-Level Cities

作　　者：吴然 黄印 马涛[3] WU Ran;HUANG Yin;MA Tao(School of Economics,Northeastern University at Qinhuangdao,Qinhuangdao 066004,China;Business School,Soochow University,Suzhou 215031,China;Business School,Harbin Institute of Technology,Harbin 150006,China)

机构地区：[1]东北大学秦皇岛分校经济学院,河北秦皇岛066004 [2]苏州大学商学院,江苏苏州215031 [3]哈尔滨工业大学商学院,哈尔滨150006

出　　处：《开发研究》2025年第1期75-85,共11页Research On Development

基　　金：辽宁省经济社会发展研究课题“‘十五五’时期提升辽宁省关键制造业备份能力研究”(2025lslqnwzzkt-016);中央高校基本科研业务专项资金资助项目“‘十五五’时期东北和京津冀发展优势互补机制研究”(N2423011);国家社会科学基金重大项目“新发展阶段优化重大生产力布局研究”(23&ZD040)。

摘　　要：利用2012—2017年中国城市间的投入产出数据和308个地级市层面的宏观数据,运用行业上游度和增加值贸易测算方法,构建空间杜宾模型对地区产业分工深化与国内外分工的关系进行探讨,结论如下:增加值贸易中,东部沿海在国内外贸易分工中都占据着重要地位,而东北、西北和西南的城市主要服务于国内贸易;安徽、湖南和四川等省份的城市在国际分工中的参与度不断提升。产业分工深化会显著降低地区增加值出口比例,抑制国际分工深化,尤其体现在东部和东北地区;同时,本地区产业分工深化会通过直接空间效应和空间网络传播效应抑制邻近地区的国际分工深化。产业分工深化程度的提升会显著提升地区增加值流出比例,推动地区国内分工深化,主要体现在东部和西部地区;同时,本地区产业分工深化会通过空间网络传播效应拉动邻近地区的国内分工深化。东北地区的产业分工深化对其国内外分工参与都未能起到有效的推动作用,并且东北地区城市之间分工的空间关联性较弱,地区之间未能形成有效联动。未来应着重关注各地区的增加值创造能力和地区间的空间联动性,深化城市间产业分工与合作。Using input-output data from 2012 to 2017 and micro-level data from 308 prefecture-level?cities,and based on industry upstreamness and value-added trade measurement methods,this paper constructs a spatial Durbin model to explore the relationship between the deepening of regional industrial division of labor and domestic and international division of labor.The conclusions are as follows:In value-added trade divisions,while the eastern coastal cities play important roles in both domestic and international trade,while cities in the northeast,northwest,and southwest mainly serve domestic trade.Cities in provinces such as Anhui,Hunan,and Sichuan are increasingly participating in international division of labor.The deepening of industrial division significantly reduces the proportion of regional value-added exports,inhibiting the deepening of international division of labor,especially in the eastern and northeastern regions.Meanwhile,the deepening of industrial division of labor in a region inhibits the deepening of international division of labor in neighboring regions through direct spatial effects and spatial network spillover effects.The enhancement of industrial division of labor significantly increases the proportion of regional value-added outflows,promoting the deepening of domestic division of labor,mainly in the eastern and western regions.At the same time,the deepening of industrial division of labor in a region drives the deepening of domestic division of labor in neighboring regions through spatial network spillover effects.The deepening of industrial division of labor in the northeast region has not effectively promoted its participation in both domestic and international divisions of labor.Additionally,the spatial correlation of division among cities in the northeast region is weak,and effective linkage has not been formed within regions.In the future,attention should be paid to enhancing the value-added creation capacity of each region and the spatial linkage to deepen industrial division of labor and c

关 键 词：双循环 产业分工深化 国内外贸易 增加值 空间溢出效应 

分 类 号：F752[经济管理—国际贸易] F724[经济管理—产业经济]