技术创新、人工智能与大国军事竞争  

Technological Innovation,Artificial Intelligence,and Major-Country Military Competition

作　　者：李晨[1] Li Chen

机构地区：[1]中国人民大学国际关系学院

出　　处：《国家安全研究》2025年第1期46-64,157,共20页China security studies

摘　　要：新一轮技术创新尤其是人工智能的快速发展,正加快塑造大国军事体系和军事竞争。工业革命以来的大国军事竞争历史经验、当前的大规模国际冲突都体现出技术对军事体系和军事竞争的影响,尤其是军事体系对技术的适应、不同技术和体系之间的对抗和抵消,需要从长时段的视角来把握。当前的军事技术竞争首先是大国技术创新和应用体系的竞争,人工智能等新兴技术对战略感知与运筹、作战体系和支援保障体系都产生了深刻影响。适应和把握新一轮军事技术竞争,需要提升军事体系效率、避免对单一技术过度依赖、增加军事体系韧性、重视新技术风险和挑战。The burgeoning wave of technological innovation,especially artificial intelligence(AI),is shaping the military systems of major countries and their competition in this field.The history of major-country military competition since the Industrial Revolution and the massive international conflicts currently underway have all highlighted the impact of technology on military systems and competition.We should analyze how military systems adapt to new technologies and how different technologies and systems confront and offset each other from a long-term perspective.The military and technology competition we witness today is,first and foremost,competition in technological innovation and application systems among the world's major countries.Emerging technologies represented by AI are transforming strategic awareness and planning,combat systems,and support systems.To adapt to and seize the initiative in the ongoing military and technology competition,we must enhance the efficiency and resiliency of our military system,avoid excessive dependency on any single technology,and pay due attention to the risks and challenges of emerging technologies.

关 键 词：大国竞争 技术创新 人工智能 军事体系 乌克兰危机 

分 类 号：F27[经济管理—企业管理]