旅游百强县时空分布及其影响机制  

Spatio-temporal distribution and influencing mechanism of the top 100 tourism counties

作　　者：魏健欣 华晨[1,2,3] 戴智妹 WEI Jianxin;HUA Chen;DAI Zhimei(Institute of Urban Planning and Design,Zhejiang University,Hangzhou 310030,China;The Architectural Design&Research Institute of Zhejiang University Co.,Ltd.,Zhejiang University,Hangzhou 310028,China;Center for Balance Architecture,Zhejiang University,Hangzhou 310028,China;School of Design and Architecture,Zhejiang University of Technology,Hangzhou 310014,China)

机构地区：[1]浙江大学城市规划与设计研究所,浙江杭州310030 [2]浙江大学建筑设计研究院有限公司,浙江杭州310028 [3]浙江大学平衡建筑研究中心,浙江杭州310028 [4]浙江工业大学设计与建筑学院,浙江杭州310014

出　　处：《浙江大学学报(理学版)》2025年第2期189-201,共13页Journal of Zhejiang University(Science Edition)

摘　　要：旅游业承载着人民对美好生活的向往,发展县域旅游逐渐成为推进城乡融合、助力美丽中国建设和促进共同富裕的重要抓手和有效路径。综合运用最邻近指数、核密度估计、重心模型、双变量空间自相关性和二元逻辑回归等方法,基于2019—2023年中国旅游百强县数据,分析了中国旅游百强县的时空分布和影响因素,探究了影响其进退的因素。研究表明:(1)旅游百强县总体呈“东多西少”的空间分布特征,并逐渐形成“一主(长三角)一副(川黔)”双核集聚格局;(2)自然环境因素、社会经济因素和政策规划因素等共同影响旅游百强县分布;(3)在形成机制上,旅游资源、地理集聚、经济规模和产业结构对旅游百强县进退的影响较显著。Tourism carries the people's yearning for better life,and the development of county-level tourism has gradually become an important starting point and effective path to promote urban-rural integration,help construction of beautiful China and promote common prosperity.Utilizing the nearest neighbor index,kernel density estimation,gravity model,bivariate spatial autocorrelation,and binary logistic regression,an analysis was conducted on the spatial and temporal distribution of China's top 100 counties in tourism,as well as the correlation factors influencing their advancement and retreat patterns.The data utilized in this research encompassed the panel data of China's top 100 tourism counties spanning from 2019 to 2023.It reveals that:(1)The spatial distribution of the top 100 tourism counties appears"more in the east and fewer in the west,"gradually forming a dual-core agglomeration pattern centered around the"one main(Yangtze River Delta)and one secondary(Sichuan-Guizhou)"regions.(2)Various correlation factors,including natural environmental conditions,socio-economic factors,and policy planning,jointly impact the distribution of the top 100 tourism counties.(3)In terms of formation mechanism,tourism resources,geographical agglomeration,economic scale and industrial structure have a significant impact on the pattern of advance and retreat of the top 100 tourism counties.

关 键 词：旅游百强县 县域旅游 逻辑回归 双变量空间自相关 影响因素 空间分布 

分 类 号：TU984[建筑科学—城市规划与设计]