考虑洪水预报信息的水库群防洪联合优化调度研究与应用  

Research and application of joint optimal flood operation of reservoir group considering flood forecast information

作　　者：任明磊[1,2,3] 张琪 赵丽平 夏志昌 陈智洋 REN Minglei;ZHANG Qi;ZHAO Liping;XIA Zhichang;CHEN Zhiyang(China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research,Beijing 100038;Research Center on Flood and Drought Disaster Reduction of the Ministry of Water Resources(Flood and Drought Disaster Prevention Center),Beijing 100038;Key Laboratory of Water Security in the Beijing Tianjin Hebei Region,Ministry of Water Resources,Beijing 100038;Wenzhou Water and Drought Disaster Prevention Center,Wenzhou 325000)

机构地区：[1]中国水利水电科学研究院,北京100038 [2]水利部防洪抗旱减灾工程技术研究中心(水旱灾害防御中心),北京100038 [3]水利部京津冀水安全保障重点实验室,北京100038 [4]浙江省温州市水旱灾害防御中心,温州325000

出　　处：《中国防汛抗旱》2025年第3期9-14,20,共7页China Flood & Drought Management

基　　金：国家重点研发计划(2022YFC006400);国家重点研发计划(2022YFC3006404)。

摘　　要：洪水预报与水库防洪调度是实现流域防洪“四预”(预报、预警、预演、预案)的重要技术手段。以浙江省飞云江流域的珊溪水库、百丈漈水库、赵山渡引水工程为例,分析流域内各水利工程的空间关系和水力联系,建立了分布式新安江模型对流域重要节点进行洪水预报,以此作为水库群防洪联合优化调度模型的输入,并对模型进行求解。结果表明,在防御1617号台风“鲇鱼”期间,考虑洪水预报信息的水库群防洪联合优化调度可进一步发挥水库防洪潜力,下游赵山渡断面削峰效果明显。Flood forecasting and reservoir flood operation are important technical means to realize the"FEDE"(forecasting,early warning,drilling,and emergancy plan)of basinwide flood control.Taking Shanxi Reservoir,Baizhangji Reservoir and Zhaoshandu Drinking Water Project in Feiyun River Basin in Zhejiang Province as examples,this paper analyzes the spatial relationship and hydraulic connection of various water projects in the basin,and establishes a distributed Xin'anjiang model for flood forecasting at important nodes in the basin,which is used as the input of the control joint optimization flood operation model of reservoir groups and solves the model.The results show that during the period of defending against the No.1617 typhoon"Megi",the joint optimization flood operation of reservoir group considering flood forecast information can further play the potential of flood control in reservoirs,and the peak shaving effect of Zhaoshandu section in the downstream is obvious.

关 键 词：洪水预报 防洪调度 水库群 优化算法 

分 类 号：TV877[水利工程—水利水电工程] TV697.1