数字孪生松辽流域预报调度平台应用建设研究  

Research on the application and development of the forecast and dispatch platform for the digital twin Songhua-Liaohe River Basin

作　　者：李博 彭勇 丁勇[3] 任明磊[4,5] 潘晓健[2] LI Bo;PENG Yong;DING Yong;REN Minglei;PAN Xiaojian(Ningbo Institute of Dalian University of Technology,Ningbo 315000;Dalian University of Technology,Dalian 116086;Songliao River Water Resources Commission of Ministry of Water Resources,Changchun 130021;China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research,Beijing 100038;Research Center on Flood and Drought Disaster Reduction of the Ministry of Water Resources(Flood and Drought Disaster Prevention Center),Beijing 100038)

机构地区：[1]大连理工大学宁波研究院,宁波315000 [2]大连理工大学,大连116086 [3]水利部松辽水利委员会,长春130021 [4]中国水利水电科学研究院,北京100038 [5]水利部防洪抗旱减灾工程技术研究中心(水旱灾害防御中心),北京100038

出　　处：《中国防汛抗旱》2025年第3期28-34,共7页China Flood & Drought Management

基　　金：国家重点研发计划课题(2022YFC3202803)。

摘　　要：在全球气候变化和经济社会快速发展的背景下,智慧水利已成为我国水利高质量发展的重要方向。水利部松辽水利委员会(以下简称松辽委)积极推进数字孪生流域建设,依托国家防汛抗旱指挥系统和松辽委水利“一张图”等信息化建设成果,构建了数字孪生松辽流域“四预”(预报、预警、预演、预案)平台。预报调度平台作为该平台“四预”业务的核心,深度耦合洪水预报和水库调度模型算法及系统功能,支持实时正向调度与反向优化计算,实现多场景、多工况下的动态防洪调度。2024年汛期,该平台在应对松花江、鸭绿江等河流14次编号洪水过程中,为流域水工程联合调度决策提供了强有力的技术支撑,显著减轻了下游城镇和耕地的受灾面积,充分验证了平台在洪水防御和调度决策中的高效性与科学性。研究表明,数字孪生松辽流域“四预”平台中的预报调度平台在推动智慧水利建设、提升防洪减灾能力方面具有显著成效,为松辽流域水利现代化发展提供了有力支撑。In the background of global climate change and rapid socio-economic development,smart water sector has become a key direction for the high-quality development of China's water sector.The Songliao Water Resources Commission of the Ministry of Water Resources(hereinafter referred to as the Commission)actively promotes the construction of a digital twin basin,leveraging the achievements of the National Flood Control and Drought Relief Command System and the"One Map"information system of the Commission to build the Digital Twin Songhua-Liaohe River Basin"FEDE(forecast,early warning,drill,and emegancy plan)"Platform.As the core of the"FEDE"business,the forecast and dispatch platform deeply integrates flood forecasting with reservoir operation models and system functions.It supports real-time forward dispatch and reverse optimization calculations,enabling dynamic flood control under multi-scenario and multi-condition settings.During the 2024 flood season,the platform provided strong technical support for joint scheduling decisions of water projects in the basin while responding to 14 numbered floods in rivers such as the Songhua River and Yalu River.This significantly reduced the affected areas of downstream towns and farmland,fully verifying the platform's efficiency and scientific effectiveness in flood defense and dispatch decision-making.Research indicates that the forecast and dispatch platform within the Digital Twin Songhua-Liaohe River Basin"FEDE"Platform has achieved remarkable results in promoting smart water sector and enhancing flood prevention and disaster mitigation capabilities,providing strong support for the modernization of water management in the Songhua-Liaohe River Basin.

关 键 词：数字孪生流域 “四预”应用 预报调度 反算 松辽流域 

分 类 号：TV877[水利工程—水利水电工程] TV697.1