基于行动者网络理论视阈的颠覆性技术监测体系研究  

Research on Disruptive Technology Monitoring System Based on Actor Network Theory

作　　者：刘巧虹 赵筱媛[1] 崔怡雯 吴毅华 LIU Qiaohong;ZHAO Xiaoyuan;CUI Yiwen;WU Yihua(Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China,Beijing 10038)

机构地区：[1]中国科学技术信息研究所,北京100038

出　　处：《中国科技资源导刊》2025年第1期69-79,89,共12页China Science & Technology Resources Review

基　　金：中国科学技术信息研究所创新研究基金青年项目“面向中国式现代化建设的颠覆性技术监测体系研究——基于行动者网络理论”(QN2024-19)。

摘　　要：颠覆性技术的动态监测能够为技术的早期识别和提前布局提供事实依据,是准确判断科技突破方向的有效支撑。基于行动者网络理论确定了政、产、学、研、用、金六类技术监测主体,从技术生命周期理论出发将颠覆性技术监测范围划分为萌芽期、成长期、成熟期、衰退期4个阶段,并结合地平线扫描动态演化特征,构建基于行动者网络的颠覆性技术监测框架。分析不同阶段监测网络的机制特征,实现对于颠覆性技术不同生命周期与行动者网络的耦合,揭示颠覆性技术监测机制的动态演化,为未来搭建颠覆性技术监测平台以及开展颠覆性技术监测工作提供理论参考。The dynamic monitoring of disruptive technologies can provide a factual basis for the early identification and layout of technologies,and is an effective support for accurately judging the direction of scientific and technological breakthroughs.Based on the actor network theory,this paper determines the monitoring subjects of government,industry,learning,research,application and finance,and divides the monitoring scope of disruptive technology into four stages:budding,growth,maturity and decline from the technology life cycle theory,and combines the dynamic evolutionary features of horizon scanning to construct an actor network-based monitoring framework for disruptive technologies.We analyse the mechanism characteristics of monitoring networks at different stages,realizes the coupling between different life cycles of disruptive technologies and actor network,and reveals the dynamic evolution of disruptive technology monitoring mechanism.This paper provides a theoretical reference for building a disruptive technology monitoring platform and carrying out disruptive technology monitoring in the future.

关 键 词：颠覆性技术 技术监测 行动者网络 技术生命周期 地平线扫描 

分 类 号：G350[文化科学—情报学]