新能源产业配套政策对地方投资拉动效果分析  

Driving Effect Analysis of New Energy Industrial Supporting Policies on Local Investments

作　　者：付强 徐晶 郭政麟 FU Qiang;XU Jing;GUO Zhenglin(SPIC Southwest Energy Research Institute Co.,Ltd.,Chengdu Sichuan 610213,China;Sichuan New Energy Research Center,Chengdu Sichuan 610213,China)

机构地区：[1]国家电投集团西南能源研究院有限公司,四川成都610213 [2]四川省新能源研究中心,四川成都610213

出　　处：《能源化工财经与管理》2024年第3期16-25,共10页

摘　　要：新能源大基地建设已成为我国“双碳”目标的重要支撑,我国风光资源多集中在西北、西南等偏远地区,地方政府期望在短期内通过资源优势吸引外来投资,以带动当地经济长远发展,产业配套政策由此成为地方政府新能源招商引资的重要组成部分。采用动态演化博弈方法分析地方政府与新能源投资企业在产业配套政策下的策略选择,结果显示,一是政策执行成本、企业预期收益等因素将共同决定产业配套政策对地方投资的拉动效果;二是积极执行产业配套政策短期可促进企业投资,长期却难以为继;三是消极执行产业配套政策的短期经济拉动效果不明显,长期效果较显著。The construction of new energy power stations has become an important support for China's"dual carbon"goals.As China’s wind and solar resources are concentrated in remote areas such as the northwest and the southwest,local governments expect to attract external investment through resource advantages in the short term to drive the long-term development of local economies,thus industrial supporting policies have become an important part of attracting new energy business and investments for local governments.The dynamic evolutionary game is hereby used to analyze the strategic choices of local governments and new energy enterprises under industrial supporting policies.The results show 1)factors including policy implementation cost and expected returns of enterprises would jointly determine the driving effect of industrial supporting policies on investments;2)active implementation of industrial supporting policies could promote enterprise investment in the short term,but it could be difficult to sustain in the long run;3)the short-term economic driving effect of passive implementation of industrial supporting policies is not obvious,while the long-term effect is more significant.

关 键 词：产业配套政策 新能源投资 区域经济 演化博弈 地方政府 

分 类 号：F426.61[经济管理—产业经济]