俄乌冲突背景下俄罗斯和美国原油生产出口分析与展望  

Analysis and Outlook for Russia and US Crude Oil Productions and Exports under Russia-Ukraine Conflict

作　　者：张俊华 ZHANG Junhua(SINOPEC Group Production and Operation Management Department,Beijing 100728,China)

机构地区：[1]中国石油化工集团有限公司生产经营管理部,北京100728

出　　处：《能源化工财经与管理》2023年第2期9-15,35,共8页

摘　　要：俄乌冲突爆发以来,作为事件最重要的参与者,以及全球最重要的石油生产出口国,俄罗斯和美国的原油供应随即发生较大变化,不仅在不同程度上影响了欧洲、印度、中国等全球主要原油进口国或地区,还影响了世界原油贸易格局。随着俄乌冲突的持续,预计俄美原油生产与出口将出现不同走势,文章先后分析了俄罗斯、美国的原油供应情况,解释了震荡背后的原因和潜在的影响,并展望了未来的市场。Since the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict,the crude oil supply of Russia and US,as the most important participants in the event and the most important oil producing and exporting countries in the world,has then undergone great changes,affecting not only Europe,India,China and other major global crude oil importing countries or regions to varying degrees,but also the international crude oil trade pattern.As the conflict continues,different trends in Russia and US crude oil productions and exports are expected.This paper successively analyzes the crude oil supply situation of the two countries,explains the deep reasons and the potential impact of the conflict,and explores the prospect of the oil market.

关 键 词：俄乌冲突 俄罗斯 美国 原油生产 原油出口 

分 类 号：F416.22[经济管理—产业经济] F757.12F755.12