数字经济发展差距是否阻碍了出口增加值折返?——基于中国制造业的分析  

Does the digital economy development gap hinder the return of export value-added?Analysis based on China’s manufacturing industry

作　　者：盛新宇 王厚双[2] 董琴 SHENG Xinyu;WANG Houshuang;DONG Qin(Nantong University,Nantong 226019;Liaoning University,Shenyang 110136)

机构地区：[1]南通大学,江苏南通226019 [2]辽宁大学,辽宁沈阳110036

出　　处：《财贸研究》2025年第2期44-56,共13页Finance and Trade Research

基　　金：江苏省社会科学基金青年项目“江苏传统产业数字化转型的动力机制及实现路径研究”(22EYC016);教育部人文社会科学一般项目“技术标准影响我国制造企业出口‘增量提质’:理论、实证与政策设计研究”(23YJA630021);国家社会科学基金项目“数字技术对国际产业分工格局的重塑与对策研究”(21BJL106)。

摘　　要：基于对中国制造业的分析,从理论和实证视角就数字经济发展差距与出口增加值折返问题开展研究。研究结果表明,经济体双边数字经济发展差距对出口增加值折返存在显著且稳健的负向影响。但这种影响存在差别,由于数字经济发展差距程度的不同,其影响存在非线性门槛特征;而因双边数字经济发展的相对水平差别以及分工伙伴产业国际竞争优势差异,数字经济发展差距的负向影响亦存在异质性;此外,在清关效率、物流水平快速提升,贸易流程便利化调节效应的影响下,数字经济发展差距对出口增加值折返的阻碍作用也有所缓解。在数字经济对全球价值链分工影响日益凸显,全球数字经济发展不平衡的当下,本文的研究为中国基于数字经济发展持续强化全球价值链分工水平提供了一定的理论依据。Based on the analysis of China’s manufacturing industry,this paper carries out a research on the digital economy development gap and the return of export value-added from both theoretical and empirical perspectives.The results show that there is a significant and robust negative effect of the bilateral digital economy development gap on the return of export value-added.However,this impact varies.Due to differences in the degree of digital economic development gaps,its influence exhibits non-linear threshold characteristics.Additionally,due to variations in the relative levels of bilateral digital economic development and the differences inthe international competitive advantages of industrial partners,the negative impact of digital economic development gap also exists in a heterogeneous way.In addition,based on the rapid improvement of customs clearance efficiency and logistics level,the hindering effect of the digital economy development gap on the return of export value-added has also been alleviated under the influence of the moderating effect of trade process facilitation.At present,the impact of the digital economy on the global value chains is becoming increasingly prominent,and the development of the global digital economy is unbalanced.Under the circumstances,the research in this paper provides a certain theoretical basis for China to continuously strengthen the division of labor in the global value chains based on the development of digital economy.

关 键 词：数字经济发展差距 出口增加值折返 制造业 

分 类 号：F753[经济管理—国际贸易]