湖南省文旅产业融合水平的时空演化、动态耦合及驱动因素  

Spatio-temporal evolution,dynamic coupling and driving factors of the integration level of cultural tourism industry in Hunan province

作　　者：彭坤杰 石彩霞 贺小荣[2] 严伊凡 PENG Kunjie;SHI Caixia;HE Xiaorong;YAN Yifan(School of Tourism and Exhibition,Hefei University,Hefei 230601,Anhui,China;College of Tourism,Hunan Normal University,Changsha 410081,Hunan,China)

机构地区：[1]合肥大学旅游与会展学院,安徽合肥230601 [2]湖南师范大学旅游学院,湖南长沙410081

出　　处：《陕西师范大学学报(自然科学版)》2025年第2期76-90,共15页Journal of Shaanxi Normal University:Natural Science Edition

基　　金：国家社会科学基金后期资助项目(21FGLB070)。

摘　　要：以湖南省各地市州为研究对象,梳理定义了文旅产业融合水平理论分析框架并构建文旅产业融合水平评价指标体系,运用耦合协调度模型、时序演变和空间格局特征可视化方法来测度文旅产业融合水平的时空演化趋势,运用面板向量自回归(panel vector autoregression,PVAR)模型来分析文旅产业融合水平子系统间的动态耦合关系,运用地理探测器模型来探索影响文旅产业融合水平的主导因子并探测因子间的交互效应。研究发现:1)2009—2021年湖南省各地市州文旅产业融合水平可分为3种发展类型,总体水平呈上升态势,但区内差异也随之拉大,扩张趋势显著;2)2009—2021年湖南省各地市州整体耦合协调等级仍以失调为主,其中长沙为高级协调等级,岳阳、株洲、衡阳、常德为基本协调等级,其余9个地市州仍处于基本失调等级;3)研究期内湖南省各地市州产业融合基础、产业融合支撑、产业融合体量子系统间存在着明确的动态耦合关系;4)以财政政策为首的7项驱动因子为影响湖南省各地市州文旅产业融合水平的主导因素,且财政政策、科技创新与消费能力的因子交互效应较强。Taking all cities in Hunan province as the research object,the theoretical analysis framework of the integration level of cultural tourism industry was defined and the evaluation index system of the integration level of cultural tourism industry was constructed.The coupling coordination degree model,temporal evolution characteristics and spatial pattern characteristics visualization methods were used to measure the spatio-temporal evolution trend of the level of the cultural tourism industry,and the PVAR model was used to analyze the dynamic coupling relationship among the subsystems of the integration level of cultural tourism industry.The geo-detector model was used to explore the dominant factors affecting the integration level of cultural tourism industry and to detect the interaction effects among the factors.The main conclusions are as[HJ1.8mm]follows:1)In 2009-2021,the integration level of culture tourism industry of cities in Hunan province can be divided into three types,the overall level shows an upward trend,but the differences within the region are also widened,and the expansion trend is significant.2)During 2009-2021,the overall coupling coordination level of cities in Hunan province is still mainly in dysfunction class,with Changsha demonstrates a high degree of coordination class,Yueyang,Zhuzhou,Hengyang and Changde exhibit basic coordination class,and the remaining 9 cities are still in basic dysfunction class.3)There exists an obvious dynamic coupling relationship among the subsystems of the industrial integration foundation,industrial integration support,and industrial integration volume in each city during the study period.4)The 7 driving factors led by fiscal policy are the dominant factors influencing the integration level of cultural tourism industry of cities in Hunan province,and the factor interaction effects of fiscal policy,science and technology innovation and consumption capacity are strong.

关 键 词：文旅产业融合水平 耦合协调度 时空演化趋势 动态耦合关系 驱动因素探索 

分 类 号：F59[经济管理—旅游管理]